2012年塞尔维亚议会选举无效选票

IF 0.1 Q4 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review Pub Date : 2021-11-23 DOI:10.20901/pm.58.4.05

Uroš Lazić

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引用次数: 0

摘要

2012年塞尔维亚议会选举中的“白色选票”运动不仅改变了无效选票的比例，还改变了其与社会人口变量的相关性。当使用广义最小二乘(GLS)多元回归分析分析前三次选举的无效选票百分比时，未完成初等教育的居民百分比代表最佳预测因子。受过初等教育的人的百分比在统计上也是相关的，只是在相反的(消极的)方向上，并且不太具有预测性。当GLS应用于2012年大选的无效票时，小学教育程度不完全与该标准呈正相关，小学教育程度与该标准呈负相关。文盲率、65岁以上人口比例和城市化程度与该标准呈显著负相关。2012年选举结果的后果是根据竞争威权主义的回归来考虑的

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Voided Ballots in the 2012 Parliamentary Election in Serbia

The “white ballots” campaign in the 2012 parliamentary election in Serbia‎was accompanied by a change in the portion of invalid ballots, but also in‎their correlation with socio-demographic variables. When the percentage of‎invalid votes in the three previous elections is analyzed using the generalized‎least squares (GLS) multiple regression analysis, the percentage of inhabitants‎with incomplete primary education represents the best predictor. The percentage‎of individuals with primary education is also statistically relevant, just in‎the opposite (negative) direction, and less predictive. When GLS is applied to‎invalid votes in the 2012 election, incomplete primary education is positively,‎and primary education is negatively correlated with the criterion. The percentage‎of illiterates, the share of people over 65 years of age and the degree‎of urbanization are significantly, but negatively related to the criterion. The‎consequences of the 2012 election outcome were considered in the light of the‎regression to competitive authoritarianism.‎

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来源期刊

Politicka Misao-Croatian Political Science Review POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

33.30%

发文量

审稿时长

3 weeks

期刊介绍： “Politička misao” je akademski časopis za politologiju i srodne discipline, koji od 1964. godine izdaje Fakultet političkih znanosti Sveučilišta u Zagrebu. Časopis je u pola stoljeća izlaženja stekao reputaciju središnjeg akademskog politološkog časopisa u Hrvatskoj i šire, naročito u nekadašnjoj Jugoslaviji, te u regiji koju čine post-jugoslavenske zemlje. “Politička misao” objavljuje priloge iz područja političkih znanosti i političkih studija općenito, odnosno iz svih poddisciplina politologije: političke teorije, međunarodnih odnosa, komparativne politike, hrvatske politike, javne politike, područnih studija, političke komunikacije, obrambenih i sigurnosnih studija i dr. Također, objavljujemo i članke iz područja koje nije moguće jednoznačno klasificirati po njihovoj pripadnosti samo jednoj disciplini nego se nalaze na „granici“ između dviju ili više disciplina: političke povijesti, ekonomske politike, političke filozofije, političke sociologije, političke psihologije, medijskih i kulturalnih studija i sl. Kao izdanje Fakulteta političkih znanosti u Zagrebu, objavljujemo i članke koji su neposredno vezani uz studijske programe na tom fakultetu. “Politička misao” je posebno zainteresirana za radove o hrvatskoj politici i društvu, za radove koji analiziraju Hrvatsku u globalnom kontekstu, kao i za radove koji istražuju politiku i društvo na Balkanu i u Jugoistočnoj Europi, u Europskoj uniji, u susjedstvu Europske unije, te na Mediteranu – regijama s kojima Hrvatska ima neposredni dodir.