土耳其安纳托利亚东南部气象时间序列趋势评价

IF 0.9 4区地球科学 Q4 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS

Geofizika Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.15233/gfz.2023.40.3

V. Gümüş, Yavuz Avşaroğlu, O. Şimşek, Latif Doğan Dinsever

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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究对土耳其综合开发项目(GAP)的重点地区东南安纳托利亚地区1966-2020年的6个气候变量(平均、最低和最高温度、相对湿度、风速和降水)进行了趋势分析。使用Mann-Kendall (MK)检验确定季节和年周期的趋势，并使用Sen's斜率法和回归分析确定趋势的斜率。此外，还使用创新趋势分析(ITA)来寻找低、中、高值的时间序列变化。结果表明，两种方法对GAP地区的平均、最低和最高气温的影响均呈上升趋势。MK方法在有限台站的降水、相对湿度和风速有显著的变化趋势，而ITA方法在大多数台站的降水、相对湿度和风速有一致的下降趋势。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Evaluation of meteorological time series trends in Southeastern Anatolia, Turkey

In this study, trend analyses of six climatic variables (mean, minimum, and maximum temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and precipitation) for 1966-2020 are conducted for the Southeastern Anatolia Region, which is the main focus of the integrated development project in Turkey (Turkish acronym GAP). The trends for seasonal and annual periods are determined using the Mann-Kendall (MK) test, and Sen's slope method and regression analyses are used to find the trends' slopes. Moreover, Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) is also used to find the time series changes for low, medium, and high values. As a result of the analyses, the mean, minimum, and maximum temperatures in the GAP region show increasing trends according to both methods. Significant trends are obtained at a limited number of stations for the precipitation, relative humidity, and wind speed with the MK test, while consistent decreasing trends are found at most stations with the ITA method.

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来源期刊

Geofizika 地学-地球化学与地球物理

CiteScore

1.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： The Geofizika journal succeeds the Papers series (Radovi), which has been published since 1923 at the Geophysical Institute in Zagreb (current the Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb). Geofizika publishes contributions dealing with physics of the atmosphere, the sea and the Earth''s interior.