“一带一路”倡议国家相对于中国的购买力平价

IF 0.6 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Lu Liu, R. Tao, Hua Wang, Chiwei Su
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用面板KSS单位根检验结合傅里叶函数和顺序面板选择法(SPSM)来检验“一带一路”沿线国家相对于中国的购买力平价(PPP)的非平稳特性。作者将“一带一路”分为21世纪海上丝绸之路(MSR)和丝绸之路经济带(SREB),以讨论两组之间PPP的差异。通过这种方法可以挑选出SREB和MSR的平稳和非平稳序列,这提供了PPP在这两个地区的大多数国家都成立的证据。但支持PPP的国家比例较高,这主要得益于中国与丝路沿线国家贸易畅通、设施联通、政策协调和资金融通。因此,主要政策暗示均衡汇率可以由购买力平价决定,在大多数“一带一路”国家,通过交换商品套利获得异常收益是不可行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Purchasing power parity in belt and road initiative countries relative to China
This paper used the Panel KSS unit root test accompanied by a Fourier function and Sequential Panel Selection Method (SPSM) to check the non-stationary properties of purchasing power parity (PPP) in Belt and Road Initiative (B&R) countries relative to China. The authors classified B&R into 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR) and Silk Road Economic Belt (SREB) to discuss the differences in PPP between the two groups. Stationary and non-stationary series in SREB and MSR can be picked out through this approach, which provided evidence that PPP holds in most countries in both regions. However, the percentage of countries that support PPP in MSR is higher, which is mainly due to closer unimpeded trade, facilities connectivity, policy coordination and financial integration between MSR countries and China. Hence, the main policies implicate that the equilibrium exchange rate can be determined by PPP, and it is unfeasible to obtain abnormal gains from arbitrage in exchanged commodities in the majority of B&R countries.
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CiteScore
1.10
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