连续行动理性不注意决策模型的辨识

Rongyu Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

讨论了二元状态连续作用理性不注意决策问题中最优考虑集的一些性质。首先,我们证明了是效用函数的形式决定了后验分布的形式,即它是二元分布还是三重或四重分布等。此外,我们还将说明,在某些情况下,信息获取后可能不会得到后验分布。其次,我们证明了最优考虑集本质上是最优行动策略。因此,在没有进一步条件的情况下,理性不注意决策模型是无法识别的。第三,为了识别理性不注意决策模型,我们在模型中引入了另一个条件。信息获取后满足内定概率的离散行动(最优行动策略)应满足概率的性质,因此离散行动也应遵循外生概率分布。通过二次效用函数的实例验证了这一思想。通过算例,我们发现在这种情况下,可以识别出最优的考虑集。最优考虑集中的元素,或等价于信息获取后的离散信号,呈现出一条或多条曲线。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The (Un)identification of Continuous-Action Rational Inattention Decision Models
In this paper, we discuss some properties of optimal consideration set in binary state continuous-action rational inattention decision problems. First, we show that it is the form of the utility function that determines the form of posterior distribution, i.e. whether it is a binary distribution or a triple or quadruple distribution, etc. Besides, we will also show that the posterior distribution may not be resulted after information acquisition in some circumstances. Second, we show that the optimal consideration set is essentially the optimal action strategies. Therefore, without further conditions, the rational inattention decision model is unidentifiable. Third, in order to identify the rational inattention decision model, we introduce another condition to the model. The discrete actions after information acquisition that satisfy the endogenously-determined probability (optimal action strategies) should satisfy the properties of probabilities, and therefore the discrete actions should also follow an exogenous probability distribution. This idea is tested by an example with quadratic utility function. Through this example, we find that under this condition, the optimal consideration set can be identified. The elements in the optimal consideration set, or equivalently the discrete signals after information acquisition, exhibit a curve or curves.
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