{"title":"对新一轮中东动荡的评价","authors":"Wenlin Tian","doi":"10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract: After several years’ unrest, “turbulence” becomes the main characteristic of current Middle East situation. Firstly, democracy transformation fails to pave a new way for the Middle East states, and these states have to continue to search for a suitable governance model in the future; Secondly, gamble of regional power emerges as a New Cold War, which is “geopolitics competition plus sectarian conflict”. Thirdly, the rise of “Islamic State” shakes the basis of regional system. Finally, US’s existing plan is disrupted and faces a dilemma. In the near future, the Middle East will come into a period of turbulence.","PeriodicalId":63464,"journal":{"name":"中东与伊斯兰研究(英文版)","volume":"9 1","pages":"73 - 97"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2015-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Assessment on the New Round of Middle East Turbulence\",\"authors\":\"Wenlin Tian\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract: After several years’ unrest, “turbulence” becomes the main characteristic of current Middle East situation. Firstly, democracy transformation fails to pave a new way for the Middle East states, and these states have to continue to search for a suitable governance model in the future; Secondly, gamble of regional power emerges as a New Cold War, which is “geopolitics competition plus sectarian conflict”. Thirdly, the rise of “Islamic State” shakes the basis of regional system. Finally, US’s existing plan is disrupted and faces a dilemma. In the near future, the Middle East will come into a period of turbulence.\",\"PeriodicalId\":63464,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"中东与伊斯兰研究(英文版)\",\"volume\":\"9 1\",\"pages\":\"73 - 97\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2015-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"中东与伊斯兰研究(英文版)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"中东与伊斯兰研究(英文版)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/19370679.2015.12023261","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Assessment on the New Round of Middle East Turbulence
Abstract: After several years’ unrest, “turbulence” becomes the main characteristic of current Middle East situation. Firstly, democracy transformation fails to pave a new way for the Middle East states, and these states have to continue to search for a suitable governance model in the future; Secondly, gamble of regional power emerges as a New Cold War, which is “geopolitics competition plus sectarian conflict”. Thirdly, the rise of “Islamic State” shakes the basis of regional system. Finally, US’s existing plan is disrupted and faces a dilemma. In the near future, the Middle East will come into a period of turbulence.
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