{"title":"估计IO影响分析中的诱导效应:计算II型莱昂惕夫乘数方法的变化","authors":"Tobias Emonts-Holley, A. Ross, K. Swales","doi":"10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.","PeriodicalId":47760,"journal":{"name":"Economic Systems Research","volume":"33 1","pages":"429 - 445"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741","citationCount":"8","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimating induced effects in IO impact analysis: variation in the methods for calculating the Type II Leontief multipliers\",\"authors\":\"Tobias Emonts-Holley, A. Ross, K. Swales\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.\",\"PeriodicalId\":47760,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Systems Research\",\"volume\":\"33 1\",\"pages\":\"429 - 445\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741\",\"citationCount\":\"8\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Systems Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Systems Research","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimating induced effects in IO impact analysis: variation in the methods for calculating the Type II Leontief multipliers
Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.
期刊介绍:
Economic Systems Research is a double blind peer-reviewed scientific journal dedicated to the furtherance of theoretical and factual knowledge about economic systems, structures and processes, and their change through time and space, at the subnational, national and international level. The journal contains sensible, matter-of-fact tools and data for modelling, policy analysis, planning and decision making in large economic environments. It promotes understanding in economic thinking and between theoretical schools of East and West, North and South.