估计IO影响分析中的诱导效应:计算II型莱昂惕夫乘数方法的变化

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Tobias Emonts-Holley, A. Ross, K. Swales
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引用次数: 8

摘要

II型输入输出乘数经常用于影响分析。不幸的是,没有标准的方法来计算这些。根本问题是,这些乘数方法使家庭消费内部化,但都有缺点,因为国际收支账户缺少将家庭收入和消费与国内经济活动始终联系起来所需的关键信息。使用兼容的区域和国家数据集,我们将各种IO II型乘数的值评估为借助社会会计矩阵数据计算的基准值。结果表明,由这些替代方法产生的II型IO乘数值的变化是一个经验上不平凡的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating induced effects in IO impact analysis: variation in the methods for calculating the Type II Leontief multipliers
Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
4.00%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: Economic Systems Research is a double blind peer-reviewed scientific journal dedicated to the furtherance of theoretical and factual knowledge about economic systems, structures and processes, and their change through time and space, at the subnational, national and international level. The journal contains sensible, matter-of-fact tools and data for modelling, policy analysis, planning and decision making in large economic environments. It promotes understanding in economic thinking and between theoretical schools of East and West, North and South.
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