苏联的高死亡率:对1929-1949年强制工业化的人口后果的重新思考。

S. Rosefielde
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引用次数: 22

摘要

对1929年至1949年间苏联强制工业化政策造成的死亡率过高的程度进行了重新考虑。这项研究是基于最近公布的、经过调整的20世纪30年代出生序列数据,以及1937年被压制的人口普查数据。这些数据表明,由于斯大林的政策,包括强制劳动营制度,造成的超额死亡率可能至少涉及1260万人,最多超过2350万人死亡。对使用不同方法和数据来源的各种备选估计进行了比较。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Excess mortality in the Soviet Union: a reconsideration of the demographic consequences of forced industrialization 1929-1949.
A reconsideration of the extent of excess mortality resulting from the policy of forced industrialization in the USSR between 1929 and 1949 is presented. The study is based on recently published, adjusted serial data on natality in the 1930s and on data from the suppressed census of 1937. These data suggest that excess mortality due to Stalin's policies, including the forced labor camp system, may have involved a minimum of 12.6 million and a maximum of more than 23.5 million deaths. Various alternative estimates using different methods and data sources are compared.
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