国际组织对投资活动体制发展的影响

IF 7.1 3区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS
Francisco Zabala Aguayo
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究通过外国直接投资(FDI)流动不对称的视角考察了国际组织对投资活动制度发展的影响。本文提出了一种计算综合金融不对称指数的方法,将金融不平衡的程度和性质形式化,并通过比较FDI吸引效率指数的实际值和假设值构建地缘战略矩阵。利用线性回归模型,对2025年和2030年32个国家的外国直接投资流量进行了基于情景的预测。结果显示,大多数国家经历了适度的金融失衡,而中国和新加坡等发达经济体和转型经济体的金融体系不对称程度较低。对于欠发达国家来说,不对称的主要前提之一是政府采取的行政应对措施。生成的地缘战略矩阵和FDI预测可以作为促进FDI的工具。在这方面,世界各国的投资政策应着眼于提高投资的使用效率。所作的长期预测表明,各国将集中精力改善和发展其投资潜力。反过来,研究中提供的解决方案将有助于减少财务不对称,并平衡可用的财务资源与投资需求。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of international organizations on the institutional development of investment activity

This study examines the impact of international organizations on the institutional development of investment activity through the lens of foreign direct investment (FDI) flow asymmetry. The paper offers an approach to computing an integrated Financial Asymmetry Index, formalizing the degree and nature of financial imbalances, and presents the geostrategic matrix built by comparing the actual and hypothetical values of the FDI Attraction Efficiency Index. Using a linear regression model, a scenario-based forecast of FDI flows to 32 countries was generated for the years 2025 and 2030. As a result, it was unveiled that the majority of countries experienced a moderate financial imbalance, whilst developed and transition economies such as China and Singapore had a low degree of asymmetry in their financial systems. For less developed nations, one of the major preconditions of asymmetry was the administrative response taken by the government. The generated geostrategic matrix and FDI forecast may serve as FDI boosting tools. In this regard, investment policies of the world states should focus on promoting the efficiency of investment usage. The long-term predictions made suggest that countries will concentrate on improving and developing their investment potential. In turn, the solution offered in the study will help reduce financial asymmetries and balance available financial resources against investment needs.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.70
自引率
3.40%
发文量
30
审稿时长
50 weeks
期刊介绍: European Research on Management and Business Economics (ERMBE) was born in 1995 as Investigaciones Europeas de Dirección y Economía de la Empresa (IEDEE). The journal is published by the European Academy of Management and Business Economics (AEDEM) under this new title since 2016, it was indexed in SCOPUS in 2012 and in Thomson Reuters Emerging Sources Citation Index in 2015. From the beginning, the aim of the Journal is to foster academic research by publishing original research articles that meet the highest analytical standards, and provide new insights that contribute and spread the business management knowledge
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