危险历史视野中的朝鲜统一

Josef C. Brada
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摘要

本文根据19世纪和20世纪意大利、美国和德国统一的经验,探讨了南北韩统一的可能性和障碍。这些统一的共同因素包括各地区收入和生产力的缓慢趋同,建立统一国家的重要政治障碍,以及需要尽可能削弱被纳入新创建国家的单位的经济、政治和社会精英的权力。我发现这些问题在所有审查的案件中都会发生,基于这些发现,我为朝鲜可能的统一提出了政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Danger! Korean reunification in historical perspective

This paper examines the possibilities for, and obstacles to, the reunification of North and South Korea based on the experiences of the reunifications of Italy, the United States and Germany in the 19th and 20th centuries. Common elements of these reunifications include a slow convergence of incomes and productivity of regions, important political barriers to the creation of a unified state and the need to neutralize as far as possible the power of the economic, political and social elites of the units being incorporated into the newly-created state. I find that these problems occur in all cases examined, and, based on these findings I offer policy recommendations for possible Korean unification.

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