解释和批判后常态:对未来和前瞻领域意识形态的警告

Alex Fergnani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

“后常态”思潮在这里被用来参考后常态科学和后常态时代框架,对帮助我们理解科学的局限性和社会变革的本质非常有用。然而,在没有审查的情况下全面遵守这些框架有可能陷入一种未经证实的意识形态。为了应对和预防这种风险,本文对这两个框架进行了解释和批评。它解释说,后常态科学既是对应用于政策背景的科学最新趋势的描述,也是对科学探究新条件的规范性回应。它还解释说,后常态既是对社会变化的描述,也是对这种变化引发的主观感受的表达。还讨论了这两个框架的优点和局限性。文章的结论是,虽然后常态科学框架可以通过一些进一步的资格来拯救,但后常态时代的框架尤其有问题。对这两个框架局限性的讨论被用来警告那些阻碍未来和远见领域富有成果的研究的意识形态立场,并鼓励更明智地使用“后常态”一词
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Explaining and critiquing the postnormal: A warning against ideologies in the field of futures and foresight

Explaining and critiquing the postnormal: A warning against ideologies in the field of futures and foresight

“Postnormal” currents of thought, which are herein used in reference to the post-normal science and the postnormal times frameworks, have been tremendously useful to help us understand the limits of science and the nature of societal change. Yet a blanket adherence to these frameworks without scrutiny risks falling into an unsubstantiated ideology. In response to and as a prevention of this risk, this article explains and critiques the two frameworks. It explains that post-normal science is both a description of a recent trend in science applied to policy contexts and a prescriptive response to new conditions of scientific inquiry. It also explains that postnormal times is both description of societal change and expression of subjective feelings elicited by such change. The two frameworks' merits and limitations are also discussed. The article's conclusion is that while the post-normal science framework can be rescued with some further qualifications, the postnormal times framework is particularly problematic. The discussion of the two frameworks' limitations is used as a warning against ideological positions that prevent fruitful research in the field of futures and foresight, and to encourage a more informed use of the term “postnormal.”

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