社会政治因素在公共债务积累中的作用:来自中非经货共同体国家的证据

IF 0.5 4区 经济学 Q4 ECONOMICS
Ulrich M. Ekouala
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引用次数: 3

摘要

对公共债务决定因素的分析在文献中有很好的记录。然而,以前的研究更多地关注经济决定因素,而忽略了社会政治因素所起的作用。本研究的目的是通过调查社会政治因素对中非经货共同体国家公共债务累积的影响,填补文献中观察到的空白。本文使用1980年至2021年期间的面板数据,将OLS和GLS作为基线模型。该研究使用FE、FE-IV和GMM作为替代技术进行稳健性检查。实证结果强调,体制(总统和立法)、腐败、选举公开性和立法选举竞争力以及欺诈是中非经货共同体国家公共债务的主要驱动因素。本文建议进一步研究,在调查发展中国家公共债务的决定因素时,应特别关注社会政治因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

The role of socio-political factors in public debt accumulation: Evidence from CEMAC countries

The role of socio-political factors in public debt accumulation: Evidence from CEMAC countries

The analysis of public debt determinants is well documented in the literature. However, previous studies give more focus to the economic determinants neglecting the role played by socio-political factors. The purpose of this study is to fill that gap observed in the literature by investigating the impact of socio-political factors on CEMAC countries' public debt accumulation in a bivariate relationship. The paper employs the OLS and GLS as baseline models using panel data covering the period from 1980 to 2021. The study uses as alternative techniques the FE, FE-IV, and the GMM for robustness checks. The empirical findings highlight the system (both presidential and legislative), corruption, Electoral openness and Competitiveness for legislative election (Liec), and fraud as the main driving factors of public debt in CEMAC countries. This paper suggests further studies to give a particular interest to socio-political factors while investigating the determinants of public debt in developing countries.

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