交通研究中的实物期权:综述

Shiyuan Zheng , Changmin Jiang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

实物期权(RO)方法是在动态或非平稳随机环境中进行决策分析的强大工具,因为它考虑了不确定性下决策灵活性的价值。近年来,RO方法在交通文献中的使用显著增加,该方法已被应用于建模和分析不同交通部门的各种主题。为了更好地了解反渗透分析在交通研究中的发展,我们对过去30年中发表的19种国际知名交通期刊的51篇论文进行了综述。这些出版物分为三个主要领域:海事、航空和公路/铁路/过境。我们研究了每一份出版物中使用的主题、不确定性来源、模型和解决方法,以确定未来可能的研究方向。总的来说,我们的综述强调了RO方法在交通研究中的日益应用及其在不确定环境中改进决策的潜力。从这篇综述中获得的见解可以帮助研究人员确定未来的调查领域,并促进更有效和高效的交通系统的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Real options in transportation research: A review

The Real Options (RO) approach is a powerful tool for decision analysis in dynamic or non-stationary stochastic settings, as it considers the value of decision flexibility under uncertainty. In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the use of the RO approach in the transportation literature, where it has been applied to model and analyze various topics in different transportation sectors. To better understand the development of RO analysis in transportation research, we conduct a review of 51 papers from 19 internationally-renowned transportation journals published in the past 30 years. These publications are categorized into three main areas: maritime, aviation, and road/railway/transit. We examine the themes, sources of uncertainty, models, and solving methods used in each publication to identify possible future research directions. Overall, our review highlights the growing use of the RO approach in transportation research and its potential for improving decision-making in uncertain environments. The insights gained from this review can help researchers identify areas for future investigation and facilitate the development of more effective and efficient transportation systems.

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