墨西哥需要与美国进行自由贸易吗？

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-04-29 DOI:10.21670/ref.2210094

J. Gerber, Yan Liang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国和墨西哥之间的自由贸易被认为发展了世界上最大的双边贸易关系之一。然而，一个多世纪以来，墨西哥和美国的贸易一直很重要。我们的目标是展示双边贸易是如何独立于1994年生效的贸易协定而增长的，并具体说明贸易增长的其他原因。我们测量了从19世纪80年代到现在的贸易流量，并估计了1948-2006年期间的重力模型。引力模型表明，墨西哥和美国的基本特征解释了独立于贸易协议的贸易量。贸易协定减少了不确定性，这可能对贸易流动产生积极影响。我们的分析没有估计不确定性减少的数量影响，但表明市场的邻近性和规模比贸易协议更重要。

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Does Mexico need free trade with the United States?

Free trade between the United States and Mexico is credited with having developed one of the largest bilateral trading relationships in the world. Yet Mexico-United States trade has been significant for more than a century. Our objective is to show how bilateral trade increased independently of the trade agreement that took effect in 1994, and to specify the other reasons why trade grew. We measure trade flows from the 1880s to the present and estimate a gravity model for the period 1948-2006. The gravity model shows that the fundamental characteristics of Mexico and the United States explain the volume of trade independently of the trade agreement. The trade agreement reduced uncertainty which likely had a positive effect on trade flows. Our analysis does not estimate the quantitative impact of reduced uncertainty but shows that proximity and size of the market were more significant that the trade agreement.

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.