综述文章:欧洲对风和风暴损害的看法——从气象背景到基于指数的影响评估方法

IF 4.2 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
D. Gliksman, Paul Averbeck, N. Becker, B. Gardiner, V. Goldberg, J. Grieger, D. Handorf, K. Haustein, Alexia Karwat, F. Knutzen, H. Lentink, Rike Lorenz, Deborah Niermann, J. Pinto, Ronald Queck, A. Ziemann, C. Franzke
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要风和风暴对自然环境和人为环境造成严重破坏。因此,与风有关的风险评估对于灾害的准备和减轻至关重要。然而,导致破坏的一连串事件取决于许多特定于环境的因素,解决与风有关的破坏的可用方法通常需要复杂的分析和专业化。幸运的是,对于许多应用来说,简单的指数和阈值与复杂的机械模型一样有效。尽管如此,现有的众多指数和阈值需要根据目标部门进行仔细的选择。在这里,我们首先提供了关于风和风暴形成和特征的基本背景,然后全面收集了可用于预测风和风暴破坏的发生和程度的指数和阈值。我们重点关注五个关键部门:森林、城市地区、交通、农业和风能生产。对于每个部门,我们描述了与地形和土地覆盖等物理特性有关的指数和阈值,也与经济方面有关(例如运输或能源生产中断)。面对气候变异性的增加,促进对风和风暴破坏进行更有效的分析可以减少对社会和环境的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Review article: A European perspective on wind and storm damage – from the meteorological background to index-based approaches to assess impacts
Abstract. Wind and windstorms cause severe damage to natural and human-made environments. Thus, wind-related risk assessment is vital for the preparation and mitigation of calamities. However, the cascade of events leading to damage depends on many factors that are environment-specific and the available methods to address wind-related damage often require sophisticated analysis and specialization. Fortunately, simple indices and thresholds are as effective as complex mechanistic models for many applications. Nonetheless, the multitude of indices and thresholds available requires a careful selection process according to the target sector. Here, we first provide a basic background on wind and storm formation and characteristics, followed by a comprehensive collection of both indices and thresholds that can be used to predict the occurrence and magnitude of wind and storm damage. We focused on five key sectors: forests, urban areas, transport, agriculture and wind-based energy production. For each sector we described indices and thresholds relating to physical properties such as topography and land cover but also to economic aspects (e.g. disruptions in transportation or energy production). In the face of increased climatic variability, the promotion of more effective analysis of wind and storm damage could reduce the impact on society and the environment.
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来源期刊
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.60
自引率
6.50%
发文量
192
审稿时长
3.8 months
期刊介绍: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS) is an interdisciplinary and international journal dedicated to the public discussion and open-access publication of high-quality studies and original research on natural hazards and their consequences. Embracing a holistic Earth system science approach, NHESS serves a wide and diverse community of research scientists, practitioners, and decision makers concerned with detection of natural hazards, monitoring and modelling, vulnerability and risk assessment, and the design and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies, including economical, societal, and educational aspects.
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