{"title":"1986-2017年呼罗珊省农村居民点人口减少趋势与模式分析","authors":"M. Ghasemi, A. Moeini","doi":"10.1080/23792949.2022.2043170","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT As a result of the speed and direction of rural depopulation, between 1986 and 2006, 59% of rural settlements were deserted in Iran’s second most populous province, Khorasan Razavi. In Iran as a whole, 37% were abandoned. A Moran’s I = 0.56 suggests that the desertion of villages in Khorasan Razavi followed a clustered pattern, with the highest rate of depopulation being in rural areas covering less than 5% of the province’s land area. Macro-economic and policy causes are outlined, as are some of the consequences and ways to promote more balanced and equitable development.","PeriodicalId":31513,"journal":{"name":"Area Development and Policy","volume":"7 1","pages":"442 - 462"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2022-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of depopulation trends and models of rural settlements in Khorasan Razavi province, 1986–2017\",\"authors\":\"M. Ghasemi, A. Moeini\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/23792949.2022.2043170\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT As a result of the speed and direction of rural depopulation, between 1986 and 2006, 59% of rural settlements were deserted in Iran’s second most populous province, Khorasan Razavi. In Iran as a whole, 37% were abandoned. A Moran’s I = 0.56 suggests that the desertion of villages in Khorasan Razavi followed a clustered pattern, with the highest rate of depopulation being in rural areas covering less than 5% of the province’s land area. Macro-economic and policy causes are outlined, as are some of the consequences and ways to promote more balanced and equitable development.\",\"PeriodicalId\":31513,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Area Development and Policy\",\"volume\":\"7 1\",\"pages\":\"442 - 462\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-04-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Area Development and Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/23792949.2022.2043170\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"DEVELOPMENT STUDIES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Area Development and Policy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/23792949.2022.2043170","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"DEVELOPMENT STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysis of depopulation trends and models of rural settlements in Khorasan Razavi province, 1986–2017
ABSTRACT As a result of the speed and direction of rural depopulation, between 1986 and 2006, 59% of rural settlements were deserted in Iran’s second most populous province, Khorasan Razavi. In Iran as a whole, 37% were abandoned. A Moran’s I = 0.56 suggests that the desertion of villages in Khorasan Razavi followed a clustered pattern, with the highest rate of depopulation being in rural areas covering less than 5% of the province’s land area. Macro-economic and policy causes are outlined, as are some of the consequences and ways to promote more balanced and equitable development.
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