国际贸易促进经济增长吗?来自文莱达鲁萨兰国的证据

IF 1.1 Q3 ECONOMICS
M. Tahir, A. Hayat
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引用次数: 3

摘要

目的——本文旨在探讨贸易开放对文莱达鲁萨兰国经济增长的潜在影响。设计/方法/方法-使用自回归分布式滞后模型(ARDL)程序进行实证分析,使用的数据跨度为1989年至2018年。调查结果-所获得的结果表明,贸易开放度与经济增长之间存在积极且具有统计学意义的关系。同样,研究结果还表明,国内投资和自然资源对经济增长产生了积极影响。此外,我们发现人力资本对经济增长产生了负面和显著的影响,这与我们之前的预期相悖。此外,从短期来看,贸易开放度和国内投资已经失去了显著水平,而所有其他变量都保持了显著水平和系数的迹象。实际意义——本文为文莱达鲁萨兰国贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系提供了全面的证据。因此,建议文莱的政策制定者采取切实可行的步骤,加快贸易自由化,从而实现更高的增长。此外,还需要对经济多样化和鼓励国内投资给予有利关注,以加速长期经济增长。独创性/价值-由于这是一项关于文莱达鲁萨兰国经济的全面研究,因此,我们希望政策制定者在制定和实施与贸易开放相关的适当政策时会发现它很有用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does international trade promote economic growth? An evidence from Brunei Darussalam
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore the potential impact of trade openness on economic growth for the economy of Brunei Darussalam. Design/methodology/approach - Empirical analyses are conducted using the Autoregressive Distributed Lagged Model (ARDL) procedure and the data utilized were spanning from 1989 to 2018. Findings - The obtained results indicated a positive and statistically significant relationship between trade openness and economic growth. Similarly, the results also revealed that domestic investment and natural resources positively impacted economic growth. Further, we found that human capital has impacted economic growth both negatively and significantly, which is against our prior expectations. Moreover, in the short run, trade openness and domestic investment have lost its significance level while all other variables have maintained both their significance levels and signs of their coefficients. Practical implications – This paper has provided comprehensive evidence regarding the relationship between trade openness and economic growth for Brunei Darussalam. Therefore, the policymakers of Brunei are suggested to take practical steps to gear up to trade liberalization and hence attain higher growth. Further, favorable attention is also needed for economic diversification and encouraging domestic investment to accelerate the long-run economic growth. Originality/value - As this is a comprehensive study on the economy of Brunei Darussalam, therefore, we expect that the policymakers would find it useful while formulating and exercising suitable policies related to trade openness.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
4.20%
发文量
17
期刊介绍: The Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies (JCEFTS) negotiates China''s unique position within the international economy, and its interaction across the globe. From a truly international perspective, the journal publishes both qualitative and quantitative research in all areas of Chinese business and foreign trade, technical economics, business environment and business strategy. JCEFTS publishes high quality research papers, viewpoints, conceptual papers, case studies, literature reviews and general views. Emphasis is placed on the publication of articles which seek to link theory with application, or critically analyse real situations in terms of Chinese economics and business in China, with the objective of identifying good practice in these areas and assisting in the development of more appropriate arrangements for addressing crucial issues of Chinese economics and business. Papers accepted for publication will be double–blind peer-reviewed to ensure academic rigour and integrity.
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