新冠疫情限制下的中国电子商务

S. Revinova, E. A. Ivashchenko
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情对包括电子商务在内的所有生活领域都产生了重大影响。大多数专家注意到这对电子商务产生了积极影响。全世界的电子商务数量都在增长。与此同时,结构发生了变化;消费者改变了他们的行为和优先级。本研究的目的是研究疫情限制期间电子商务在中国的作用,并分析疫情期间电子商务的统计和结构变化。对电子商务在中国的发展前景进行了定量和定性分析。在进行研究时,采用了统计和比较分析的方法。数据来源是来自中国国家统计局和其他公开来源的材料。为了确定电子商务的前景,建立了一个带有添加剂成分的模型。对数据进行了去分析,计算了几个趋势变量,并选择了最合适的趋势,最接近销售数据。分析显示,在疫情期间,中国的电子商务有所增长,但没有预期的那么强劲。值得注意的是,在疫情之前,电子商务以相当快的速度增长,而疫情只是稍微加速了它。在疫情期间,那些以前没有使用过互联网的公司被迫转向新的销售形式。疫情还促使人们尝试许多新产品和服务,然后养成新的消费习惯,从长远来看,这将继续推动电子商务的发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
E-commerce in China amid COVID-19 pandemic restrictions
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant impact on all areas of life, including e-commerce. Most experts note a positive effect on e-commerce. E-commerce volume has grown all over the world. At the same time, structural changes took place; consumers changed their behavior and priorities. The purpose of the research is to study the role of e-commerce in China during the period of pandemic restrictions and analyze the statistical and structural changes in e-commerce during the epidemic. Quantitative and qualitative analysis is provided and the prospects for e-commerce in China are identified. When conducting the study, the methods of statistical and comparative analysis were used. The data sources were materials from the National Bureau of Statistics of China and other open sources. To determine the prospects for e-commerce, a model with an additive component was build. The data was deseasonalized, several trend variants were calculated, and the most suitable trend was selected, best approximating the sales data. The analysis showed that China has seen growth in e-commerce during the pandemic, but not as strong as expected. It is noted that before the pandemic, e-commerce grew at a reasonably rapid pace, and the pandemic only accelerated it a little. During the pandemic, those companies that had not previously used the Internet were forced to switch to new sales forms. The epidemic also prompted people to try many new products and services and then develop new consumer habits, which in the long term will continue the growth of e-commerce.
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