波罗的海国家的商业周期同步

IF 2.1 Q4 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
A. Kregždė
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引用次数: 1

摘要

目的-本文的目的是调查波罗的海和北欧国家之间以及波罗的海国家和欧元区之间的实际商业周期同步水平。研究方法-采用小波分析来评估不同时期和时间的同步水平。使用了1995年第二季度至2019年第四季度的季度数据。研究结果-我们发现了波罗的海国家经济中几个重要事件对同步性的影响:2004年加入欧盟,波罗的海国家引入欧元以及一些外部冲击。研究限制-由于缺乏波罗的海国家可靠的长期数据,无法对其他重要的金融变量进行计算。实际影响-研究结果对预测和实施波罗的海国家灵活的经济政策很重要。独创性/价值-首次调查了波罗的海国家之间以及波罗的海国家、北欧国家和欧元区国家之间跨时间和不同频率维度的商业周期同步性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
BUSINESS CYCLES SYNCHRONISATIONS IN THE BALTIC COUNTRIES
Purpose – The purpose of the paper is to investigate the level of real business cycles synchronisation between the Baltic and the Nordic countries and between the Baltic countries and the euro area. Research methodology – Wavelet analysis was employed to evaluate the level of synchronisation for different periods and time. Quarterly data from 1995 Q2 to 2019 Q4 was used. Findings – We discover the influence of several essential events in economies of the Baltic countries on the synchronisation: accession to the EU in 2004, the introduction of the euro in the Baltic countries and some external shocks. Research limitation – A lack of reliable long-term data from the Baltic countries does not allow performing calculation for other important financial variables. Practical implications – Results of the research are important for forecasting and implementing flexible economic policies of the Baltic countries. Originality/Value – Business cycles synchronisation between the Baltic countries themselves and between the Baltic countries, the Nordic countries and the euro area countries across time and various frequency dimensions was investigated for the first time.
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CiteScore
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