特定谷物重力模型在欧美贸易中的应用

Piotr Kułyk, Łukasz Augustowski
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文介绍了重力模型在欧盟和美国之间小麦、燕麦和玉米等农产品双边贸易中的应用。分析时间跨度为2000-2016年,解释变量包括GDP、PSE指数、农业增加值和农业人均增加值。所进行的研究显示,某些欧盟和美国农产品之间的贸易存在重大干扰。因此,适用于小麦、燕麦和玉米的引力模型并没有证实,以实际GDP表示的经济群体正在吸引和加强贸易。在农业附加值方面也注意到排斥现象。然而,研究表明,农业支持对小麦和燕麦产生了吸引贸易的效果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Zastosowanie modeli grawitacyjnych dla wybranych zbóż w handlu między UE a USA
This article presents the use of gravity models in bilateral trade in agricultural products such as wheat, oats and maize between the EU and the USA. The analysis covered the years 2000-2016, and the explanatory variables included GDP, PSE index, value added in agriculture and value added per employee in agriculture. The conducted research revealed significant disturbances in trade between selected EU and US agricultural products. Consequently, the gravity model applied to wheat, oats and maize did not confirm that the masses of economies expressed in their real GDP are attracting and strengthening trade. The phenomenon of repulsion was also noticed for added values in agriculture. However, the research has shown that agricultural support creates the effects of attracting trade, for wheat and oats.
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