沙尘暴对伊拉克农业的影响

Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI:10.1080/17938120.2023.2166748
H. Ahmadzai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

沙尘暴是中东和北非干旱和干旱地区常见的自然灾害,严重影响人类生活和经济部门,包括农业生产。在本文中,我将家庭层面的生产和社会经济数据与气候数据集相结合,探讨了沙尘暴(SDS)对伊拉克农业子部门的潜在影响,以便对沙尘暴对农业的影响进行实证评估。我发现了令人信服的证据,表明作物和牲畜暴露在沙尘暴中会显著降低农业生产力和植被覆盖率,并对家庭福利产生重大影响。我们的分析显示,由于额外的SDS事件,作物生产价值下降了1.1%。这相当于伊拉克国内生产总值损失约0.045%,相当于约1亿美元。额外一天的沙尘暴会使作物产量大幅下降,降幅从0.9%到3%不等。
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The impact of sand and dust storms on agriculture in Iraq
ABSTRACT Sand and dust storms are a common natural hazard in arid and dry areas of the Middle East and North Africa severely affecting human life and economic sectors, including agriculture production. In this paper, I explore the potential impact of sand and dust storms (SDS) on agricultural sub-sectors in Iraq by combining the household-level production and socioeconomic data with the climate dataset to allow the empirical assessment of agricultural impacts due to dust storms. I find compelling evidence that exposure of crops and livestock to dust storms significantly diminish agricultural productivity, vegetation cover and have significant bearings on the household welfare. Our analysis reveals a 1.1% reduction in the value of crop production as a result of an additional SDS event. This corresponds to about 0.045% losses in the GDP of Iraq, an amount equivalent to about $0.1 billion. Crop yields are reduced significantly ranging from 0.9% to 3% for an additional day of sand and dust storms.
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