贸易开放对经济增长的影响分析&以摩洛哥为例

IF 0.8 Q4 ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL
Hanane Louardy, Abdelhak Moussamir
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引用次数: 1

摘要

对国际贸易开放与经济增长之间的关系一直是一个长期存在争议的话题。这为各种理论和实证调查铺平了道路,这些调查产生了不确定的结果,特别是在发展中国家的情况下。一个很好的例子是,对摩洛哥经济进行了全面分析,以确定和评估1980年至2019年期间贸易开放对经济增长的影响。为此,所采用的方法包括使用协整的ARDL边界检验和Toda-Yamamoto因果关系检验的统计和计量经济学检验的互补方法。结果表明,摩洛哥对国际贸易的开放在短期内对经济增长产生了积极影响。然而,从长远来看,它会产生不利影响,特别是在经济增长和国际贸易这两个变量之间存在双向因果关系的情况下。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF TRADE OPENNESS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: THE CASE OF MOROCCO
The relationship between openness to international trade and economic growth has been a subject of perennial controversy. This has paved the way for various theoretical and empirical investigations which has yielded inconclusive results, particularly in the case of developing countries. As a good case in point, the Moroccan economy has been subjected to a thorough analysis in order to determine and evaluate the impact of trade openness on economic growth covering the period from 1980 to 2019. To this end, the methodology adopted consists of a complementary approach of statistical and econometric tests using the ARDL bounds test of cointegration and the Toda-Yamamoto causality test. The results have shown that Morocco's openness to international trade positively impacts economic growth in the short term. Yet, it produces adverse effects in the long term, especially with the presence of bidirectional causal relationship between the two variables– i.e economic growth and international trade.
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来源期刊
Acta Logistica
Acta Logistica Engineering-Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
28.60%
发文量
36
审稿时长
4 weeks
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