决策与预见

IF 1.8 1区 哲学 0 PHILOSOPHY
NOUS Pub Date : 2022-12-05 DOI:10.1111/nous.12443
J. Gallow
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引用次数: 2

摘要

当前位置我的主题是,当你预先知道选择的后果时,如何做出决定。许多人认为,这类决策为因果决策理论(CDT)提出了一个独特而新颖的问题。我的论点是,预知不会给CDT带来新的问题。有些所谓的问题并不是问题。其他是问题,但它们不是CDT的问题。相反,它们是我们的虚拟假设理论的问题。还有一些是问题,但不是新问题。它们是老问题转化成新问题。尽管如此,通过预知做出的决定说明了我们选择的工具价值的重要教训。一旦我们领会了这些教训,我们就会得到一个不会面临来自预知的新威胁的CDT版本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decision and foreknowledge
: My topic is how to make decisions when you possess foreknowledge of the consequences of your choice. Many have thought that these kinds of decisions pose a distinctive and novel problem for causal decision theory (CDT). My thesis is that foreknowledge poses no new problems for CDT. Some of the purported problems are not problems. Others are problems, but they are not problems for CDT. Rather, they are problems for our theories of subjunctive supposition. Others are problems, but they are not new problems. They are old problems transposed into a new key. Nonetheless, decisions made with foreknowledgeillustrate important lessonsabout the instrumental value of our choices. Once we’ve appreciated these lessons, we are left with a version of CDT which faces no novel threats from foreknowledge.
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来源期刊
NOUS
NOUS PHILOSOPHY-
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
4.80%
发文量
34
期刊介绍: Noûs, a premier philosophy journal, publishes articles that address the whole range of topics at the center of philosophical debate, as well as long critical studies of important books. Subscribers to Noûs also receive two prestigious annual publications at no additional cost: Philosophical Issues and Philosophical Perspectives.
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