克里米亚的吞并:从能源资源的角度看现实主义

Javad Keypour, Ivar Hendla
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文研究了能源在俄罗斯政府吞并克里米亚过程中的作用。根据现实主义的力量平衡概念,俄罗斯认为采取这一行动是为了保护俄罗斯种族的理由,正如“公民投票”所宣布的那样,可能会受到质疑。根据研究,俄罗斯认为乌克兰与西方关系的改善是一种威胁,并试图通过先发制人的行动消除这种威胁,以重建与西方的地区力量平衡。文章发现,能量因素在这一考虑中发挥了重要作用,但采用了减法。更准确地说,俄罗斯没有从本质上获取黑海资源的主要动机,但这些储量被公认为乌克兰主要经济赋权计划的一部分,特别是在欧盟未来能源市场上。因此,俄罗斯试图按照楔形战略阻止乌克兰接触他们。因此,吞并可以被视为俄罗斯对欧盟能源政策的一部分,另一部分是俄罗斯通过建造北溪和土耳其溪等新管道来削弱乌克兰的天然气运输作用。这项研究表明,从能源角度来看,乌克兰的战略地位是如何显著削弱的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Annexation of Crimea: A Realist Look from the Energy Resources Perspective
Abstract The article studies the role of energy resources in the annexation of Crimea by the Russian government. Russian justification that this action was taken to protect Russian ethnicity, as declared with the “referendum”, can be challenged in the light of the realist balance of power concept. According to the research, Russia considered Ukraine’s improving relations with the West as a threat and tried to eliminate it with preemptive action, in order to reestablish regional balance of power with the West. The article finds that the energy factor had a significant role in this consideration but in a subtractive approach. More precisely, there were no major incentives for Russia to capture the Black Sea resources intrinsically, but these reserves were recognized as part of the main Ukrainian economic empowerment plan, particularly on the EU’s future energy market. Thus, Russia tried to block Ukraine’s access to them in line with a wedge strategy. Hence, the annexation can be considered as one part of Russian energy policy towards the EU and Russia’s goal to emasculate Ukraine’s natural gas transit role by constructing new pipelines such as Nord Stream and Turkish Stream, as the other part. The study exemplifies how Ukraine’s strategic position has been significantly diminished from the energy perspective.
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期刊介绍: Baltic Journal of European Studies (abbreviation BJES) is a semiannual double blind peer-reviewed international research journal (formerly known as Proceedings of the Institute for European Studies) with an international editorial office and extensive international editorial board, abstracted in EBSCO and other relevant databases.The scope of the journal comprises a wide spectrum of social, political, economic and cultural issues related to recent developments in the European Union and its member states.
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