利用学生t分布处理技术效率测量中的异常值

R. Zulkarnain, A. Djuraidah, I. Sumertajaya, Indahwati Indahwati
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随机前沿分析(SFA)是衡量技术效率的常用方法。SFA将误差项分解为噪声和低效率分量。噪声分量一般假定为正态分布,而低效率分量一般假定为半正态分布。然而,在异常值存在的情况下,噪声的正态性假设是不充分的,可能会产生令人难以置信的技术效率分数。本文旨在探讨在技术效率测量中使用Student 's t分布来处理异常值。该模型在东爪哇水稻生产中得到了应用。产出变量是产量,投入变量是土地、种子、肥料、劳动力和资本。为了连接输出和输入,使用似然比检验选择Cobb-Douglas或Translog生产函数,其中使用最大模拟似然估计参数。采用Jondrow法计算技术效率得分。结果表明,噪声的Student 's t分布可以降低技术效率得分的异常值。学生的t分布向下修正了极高的技术效率分数,向上修正了极低的技术效率分数。对异常值进行处理后,模型的性能得到了提高,AIC值变小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
UTILIZATION OF STUDENT’S T DISTRIBUTION TO HANDLE OUTLIERS IN TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY MEASUREMENT
Stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) is the favorite method for measuring technical efficiency. SFA decomposes the error term into noise and inefficiency components. The noise component is generally assumed to have a normal distribution, while the inefficiency component is assumed to have half normal distribution. However, in the presence of outliers, the normality assumption of noise is not sufficient and can produce implausible technical efficiency scores. This paper aims to explore the use of Student’s t distribution for handling outliers in technical efficiency measurement. The model was applied in paddy rice production in East Java. Output variable was the quantity of production, while the input variables were land, seed, fertilizer, labor and capital. To link the output and inputs, Cobb-Douglas or Translog production functions was chosen using likelihood ratio test, where the parameters were estimated using maximum simulated likelihood. Furthermore, the technical efficiency scores were calculated using Jondrow method. The results showed that Student’s t distribution for noise can reduce the outliers in technical efficiency scores. Student’s t distribution revised the extremely high technical efficiency scores downward and the extremely low technical efficiency scores upward. The performance of model was improved after the outliers were handled, indicated by smaller AIC value.
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