核裁军理论:案例、类比和不扩散制度的作用

IF 4 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Kjølv Egeland
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引用次数: 7

摘要

什么可能促使一个拥有核武器的国家放弃其核武库?几十年来,核裁军为世界上几乎所有国家提供了一个名义上的共同目标,但令人惊讶的是,很少有人致力于系统地将其驱动因素理论化。本文旨在填补这一空白。我分三步进行。首先,我将讨论放弃的概念、材料和观念特征,以初步了解核裁军作为一个政治进程所涉及的基本内容。其次,我列举了一些经验证据,这些证据可以作为放弃核武器的一般理论的基础。第三,综合第二部分中讨论的案例的主要解释,我概述了放弃核武器的基本说明,并讨论了这种说明与裁军实践的共同假设的兼容性。我的结论是,现有的最佳证据表明,敌对的政治和污名化是放弃的必要条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A theory of nuclear disarmament: Cases, analogies, and the role of the non-proliferation regime
ABSTRACT What might prompt a nuclear-armed state to give up its arsenal? Nuclear disarmament has provided a nominally shared goal for virtually all the world’s states for decades, yet surprisingly little effort has been devoted to systematically theorizing its drivers. This article aims to begin filling this void. I proceed in three steps. First, I discuss the conceptual, material, and ideational features of renunciation to arrive at a rudimentary understanding of what, fundamentally, nuclear disarmament as a political process involves. Second, I scope out the empirical evidence on which a general theory of nuclear renunciation might be based. Third, synthesizing the dominant explanations for the cases discussed in the second part, I outline a basic account of nuclear relinquishment and discuss the compatibility of this account with common assumptions about disarmament practice. I conclude that the best evidence available suggests that adversarial politics and stigmatization are necessary conditions for renunciation.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
14.60
自引率
6.80%
发文量
22
期刊介绍: One of the oldest peer-reviewed journals in international conflict and security, Contemporary Security Policy promotes theoretically-based research on policy problems of armed conflict, intervention and conflict resolution. Since it first appeared in 1980, CSP has established its unique place as a meeting ground for research at the nexus of theory and policy. Spanning the gap between academic and policy approaches, CSP offers policy analysts a place to pursue fundamental issues, and academic writers a venue for addressing policy. Major fields of concern include: War and armed conflict Peacekeeping Conflict resolution Arms control and disarmament Defense policy Strategic culture International institutions. CSP is committed to a broad range of intellectual perspectives. Articles promote new analytical approaches, iconoclastic interpretations and previously overlooked perspectives. Its pages encourage novel contributions and outlooks, not particular methodologies or policy goals. Its geographical scope is worldwide and includes security challenges in Europe, Africa, the Middle-East and Asia. Authors are encouraged to examine established priorities in innovative ways and to apply traditional methods to new problems.
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