与气候有关的自然灾害和强迫移民：空间回归分析

IF 1.5 3区经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS

Spatial Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2021-11-18 DOI:10.1080/17421772.2021.1995620

Caterina Conigliani, V. Costantini, G. Finardi

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引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要：我们研究了空间效应在分析气候相关灾害与强迫移民之间关系中的作用。作为案例研究，我们选择了南亚和东南亚，因为该地区大量暴露在这些危险中。空间回归表明，中短途强迫移民在很大程度上受到气候相关灾害的影响，与目的地的经济预期无关。此外，我们发现这种关系是特定于灾难类型的。最后，我们发现移民之间存在竞争，因为作为适应战略的迁移决定取决于邻国的移民行为。

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Climate-related natural disasters and forced migration: a spatial regression analysis

ABSTRACT We investigate the role of spatial effects in the analysis of the relationship between climate-related disasters and forced migration. As a case study we select South and Southeast Asia due to the area’s large exposure to these hazards. The spatial regressions show that short- to medium-distance forced migrations are considerably affected by climate-related disasters, independently of the economic expectation associated with the destination. Moreover, we find that this relationship is disaster-type specific. Finally, we detect a competition among migrants, as the decision to move as an adaptation strategy is found to be dependent on the migratory behaviour of neighbouring countries.

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来源期刊

Spatial Economic Analysis ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

5.40

自引率

21.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Spatial Economic Analysis is a pioneering economics journal dedicated to the development of theory and methods in spatial economics, published by two of the world"s leading learned societies in the analysis of spatial economics, the Regional Studies Association and the British and Irish Section of the Regional Science Association International. A spatial perspective has become increasingly relevant to our understanding of economic phenomena, both on the global scale and at the scale of cities and regions. The growth in international trade, the opening up of emerging markets, the restructuring of the world economy along regional lines, and overall strategic and political significance of globalization, have re-emphasised the importance of geographical analysis.