南非生命表的历史和预测。E1 ~ No。E9

IF 0.1 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE
G. Whittaker
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在20世纪,南非政府统计部门为白人群体制作了9个完整的生命表,为有色人种群体制作了7个完整的生命表,为亚洲人口群体制作了6个完整的生命表,而非洲人口群体没有制作完整的生命表。截至2020年,根据1993年第130号《职业伤害和疾病赔偿法》,仍使用《1979/1981年南非白人生命表》将养恤金资本化。同样,南非精算师在计算损害赔偿时仍然广泛使用1984/1986年白人人口群体的南非生命表。本文提供了9个完整的白人生命表的历史记录,并提供了到2020年这些表的预测。预测的目的是对目前的白人人口死亡率作出估计,然后作为赔偿要求的非种族死亡率依据。它还旨在补充人口统计学家根据更复杂的人口技术编制新的人口表的工作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A history and forecast of the South African life tables No. E1 to No. E9
During the 20th century, government statistical departments in South Africa produced nine complete life tables for the white population group, seven complete life tables for the coloured population group, six complete life tables for the Asian population group and no complete life tables for the African population group. As of 2020, the South African Life Tables 1979/1981 for the white population group are still used in capitalising pensions in terms of the Compensation for Occupational Injuries and Diseases Act No. 130 of 1993. Similarly, the South African Life Tables 1984/1986 for the white population group are still used extensively in damages calculations by South African actuaries. This paper provides a historical record of the nine complete life tables for the white population group and provides a forecast of those tables to 2020. The aim of the forecast is to provide an estimate for current white population mortality rates which could then serve as a non-racial mortality basis for damages claims. It also aims to complement the work of demographers in their development of new population tables based on more sophisticated demographic techniques.
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South African Actuarial Journal
South African Actuarial Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
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