国际和乌克兰实践中影响银行贷款利率的宏观经济因素

Sergiy Ivakhnenkov, S. Hlushchenko, Kamilla Sverenko
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文的目的是根据国际和乌克兰的做法,揭示宏观经济指标的动态与银行贷款利率水平之间的联系。在之前分析的基础上,本文还旨在确定长期贷款价格形成的关键趋势,并确定与银行贷款利率相关的问题。乌克兰银行贷款利率的主要特点是:a)利率高;B)加权平均银行贷款利率逐年急剧变化;C)与企业的银行贷款成本相比,家庭贷款利率更高;D)中短期贷款利率高于长期贷款利率;E)与格里夫纳贷款相比,外币贷款利率更低;f)银行投资组合中家庭和企业不良贷款的比例很高。在世界和乌克兰实践的背景下,本文论证了人均GDP、贷款占GDP的比例、营商便利指数和银行贷款利率等宏观经济指标之间的反向效应。本文还论证了我国通货膨胀率动态、银行不良贷款动态与其利率之间的直接关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macroeconomic factors that influence the bank loans rate in international and Ukrainian practice
The goal of the paper is to disclose the links between the dynamics of macroeconomic indicators and the level of bank loan rates based on international and Ukrainian practice. On the basis of the previous analysis, the paper also aims to identify the key trends in the formation of loan prices in the long run and identify problematic issues related to bank loan rates. The main characteristics of bank lending rates in Ukraine are: a) their high rates; b) sharp changes in the weighted average bank loan rates from year to year; c) higher loan rates for households compared to the cost of bank loans for businesses; d) higher bank loan rates for short- and medium-term loans versus long-term ones; e) lower rates on loans in foreign currency compared to the loans in hryvnia; and f) high share of non-performing loans to households and businesses in bank portfolios. In the context of world and Ukrainian practice, the paper demonstrates the reverse effect between macroeconomic indicators such as GDP per capita, the ratio of loans to GDP, the ease of doing business index and bank loan rates. The article also demonstrates a direct relationship between the dynamics of inflation rate in the country, the dynamics of non-performing bank loans and their rates.
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