新冠肺炎大流行:科学政策社会为实现宜居未来敲响了警钟

Maskana Pub Date : 2021-12-24 DOI:10.18537/mskn.12.02.00
J. Feyen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2021年即将结束,《MASKANA 12(2)》杂志的在线版即将出版。2021年,意味着21世纪已经过去了五分之一。自2000年以来,世界人口从61亿增加到79亿,即29.5%。不同的模型预测,2030年的世界人口将增加到85亿,也就是世界领导人在格拉斯哥(英国)举行的GOP26会议上同意将全球变暖限制在1.5°C的那一年。考虑到人口的持续指数增长,不知道世界是否有能力确保粮食安全,同时是否能够将地球变暖限制在1.5°C?根据粮农组织(联合国粮食及农业组织)关于粮食安全状况的年度研究,自2014年以来,营养不良的人数增加了,今天,世界在消除饥饿的努力中遭遇了前所未有的挫折。据粮农组织称,粮食安全和营养下降的主要驱动因素是:冲突、气候变化和极端情况,以及经济放缓和衰退。收入、生产能力、资产、技术、教育和健康方面的不平等加剧了人们所经历的影响。新冠肺炎大流行是另一个因素,它使世界偏离了结束世界饥饿、营养不良、气候变化、移民、富人越来越富有、穷人越来越贫穷等不平等现象的轨道。与这些演变并行的是,全世界的民主正在衰落。根据IDEA(国际民主和选举援助研究所)的说法,民主侵蚀的趋势自2006年以来一直在持续,今天比以往任何时候都更糟。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19 pandemic: A wake-up call at science-policy-society to work towards a livable future
The year 2021 is nearing its end when the online version of the journal MASKANA 12(2) is published. 2021, means that already one-fifth of the 21st century has passed. Since 2000 raised the world population from 6.1 to 7.9 billion, or 29.5%. Different models predict that the world population in 2030, the year that the world leaders in Glasgow (UK) during the GOP26 meeting agreed to limit global warming to 1.5°C, will increase to 8.5 billion. Wonder if the world possesses the capacity to secure food, given the continuing exponential growth of the population, and at the same time will be able to limit the warming up of the planet by 1.5°C? According to the yearly study of FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) on the state of food security increased the number of people experiencing undernourishment since 2014, and today the world experiences an unprecedented setback in its hunger eradication effort. The major drivers behind the decline in food security and nutrition are according to FAO: conflict, climate variability and extremes, and economic slowdowns and downturns. The impacts the people experience are exacerbated by the levels of inequality in terms of income, productive capacity, assets, technology, education and health. The COVID-19 pandemic has been an additional factor that put the world off track to ending world hunger, malnutrition, climate change, immigration, that the rich are getting richer, and the poor are becoming poorer, among other phenomena of inequality. Parallel to these evolutions, democracy worldwide is in decline. According to IDEA (International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance), is the trend of democratic erosion ongoing since 2006 and is today worse than ever before.
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