恢复叙利亚和平进程的前景

Vassil Stankov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

该文件强调了叙利亚冲突的主要特点以及一些区域和全球参与者参与的原因,他们的行为是由冲突驱动的,以尽可能最好的方式保护他们的利益,从而表明恢复和平进程的前景。该文件探讨了主要利益攸关方目前的态度和方法,并试图在全面和平进程展开的情况下分析其行动背后的理由。此外,该文件评估了总体减少敌对行动和重新开启和平进程的趋势和前景,与土耳其和其他重要参与者试图恢复关系、改善关系和与叙利亚政权建立对话的情况相比。该文件还揭示了需要克服的全国性和地方性障碍,如果要真正努力实现和解、停火和和解,作为和平的前奏,并就未来治理和新宪法进行全面讨论。最后,该文件最后提出了一些值得遵循的指标,以预测重新启动和平进程的可能性越来越大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prospects for the Resumption of the Peace Process in Syria
The paper highlights the key features of the conflict in Syria and the reasons for the involvement of a number of regional and global players, whose behavior is driven by strife to protect their interests the best way possible, thus making it indicative of the prospects for resuming the peace process. The paper explores the current attitudes and approaches of the major stakeholders and ventures to analyze the rationale behind their actions in the event of an unfolding comprehensive peace process. Furthermore, the paper makes an assessment of the trends and prospects for a general reduction of hostilities and reopening the peace process vis-à-vis the attempts by Turkey and other important players to restore ties, improve relations and establish a dialogue with the Syrian regime. The paper goes on to reveal the nation-wide and local obstacles that need to be overcome should a genuine attempt be made towards rapprochement, ceasefire and reconciliation as a prelude to pacification and comprehensive discussions about future governance and a new Constitution. Finally, the paper concludes by suggesting a number of indicators worth following in order to anticipate a growing likelihood for reopening the peace process.
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