针对COVID-19大流行的定向适应性隔离策略

IF 3 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES

传染病建模(英文) Pub Date : 2020-03-31 DOI:10.1101/2020.03.23.20041897

Z. Neufeld, H. Khataee, A. Czirók

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引用次数: 34

摘要

摘要我们使用一个简单的易感感染-消除流行病模型，研究社交距离在控制新冠肺炎流行病影响方面的作用。我们表明，基于有针对性地隔离弱势亚群体的替代或补充方法可以在更短的时间内以更低的经济和社会成本提供更有效和稳健的策略，从而形成集体免疫群体。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Targeted adaptive isolation strategy for COVID-19 pandemic

Abstract We investigate the effects of social distancing in controlling the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic using a simple susceptible-infected-removed epidemic model. We show that an alternative or complementary approach based on targeted isolation of the vulnerable sub-population may provide a more efficient and robust strategy at a lower economic and social cost within a shorter timeframe resulting in a collectively immune population.

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来源期刊

传染病建模(英文)

CiteScore

18.30

自引率

0.00%

发文量