卡在原地?印尼伊斯兰繁荣正义党的正常化与选民形象的变化

IF 1.2 3区 社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY
J. Park
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要以印尼繁荣正义党(PKS)为例,我试图衡量伊斯兰政党的温和对其选举表现和选民基础的实际影响。统计分析发现,尽管自21世纪初以来,库尔德工人党经历了多样化选民的涌入,但受过教育的伊斯兰选民的逐渐退出抵消了这一涌入,他们自该党成立以来一直忠于该党。我进一步声称,库尔德工人党选民形象的这种变化不是由于温和本身,而是由于正常化,表现为政党精英的行为适应了印尼政治的现有模式。该党最近的政策转变带有保守的基调,不足以从其最初的支持者那里重新获得选票,他们已经将工人党视为一个普通的政党。库尔德工人党的案例表明,伊斯兰政党有必要保持其作为政党体系中另类声音的独特性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
STUCK IN PLACE? NORMALIZATION AND THE CHANGING VOTER PROFILE OF INDONESIA'S ISLAMIST PROSPEROUS JUSTICE PARTY
Abstract Using the case of the Indonesian Prosperous Justice Party (PKS), I seek to measure the actual impact of Islamist parties’ moderation on their electoral performances and voter bases. Statistical analyses find that although PKS has experienced an influx of diverse voters since the early 2000s, the influx was offset by a gradual withdrawal of educated Islamist voters, who had been loyal to the party since its establishment. I further claim that this change in PKS's voter profile was attributable not to moderation per se but to normalization, manifesting in an adaptation of the party elites’ behaviors to the existing patterns in Indonesian politics. The party's recent policy shift with a conservative tone was insufficient to regain votes from its original supporters, who already saw PKS as a run-of-the-mill party. PKS's case implies that it is necessary for Islamist parties to maintain their distinctiveness as an alternative voice in the party system.
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来源期刊
Journal of East Asian Studies
Journal of East Asian Studies SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
15.40%
发文量
28
期刊介绍: Experts from around the globe come together in this important peer-reviewed forum to present compelling social science research on the entire East Asia region. Topics include democratic governance, military security, political culture, economic cooperation, human rights, and environmental concerns. Thought-provoking book reviews enhance each issue. Want more information information on Journal of East Asian Studies? Sign up for our E-Alerts for regular updates.
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