评估社会经济进程中关系因果关系的模型分类和趋势描述

IF 0.6 Q4 BUSINESS
D. Nazarov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

任何社会经济和管理过程的科学研究都可以表示为对这种或那种现象发生的原因和后果的一系列思考。与此同时,作者可以试着不只是回答“为什么?”还要研究和理解因果关系的本质,找出它们发生的机制,并尽可能准确合理地回答所提出的问题。每个作者,利用积累的经验,提供定性和定量的方法,使他能够获得一种或另一种因果关系的评估。但是,没有足够的文章专门全面审查社会经济进程中因果关系的方法和技术。本文讨论了社会经济科学中评估因果关系的三种著名的概念方法:继承因果关系、配置因果关系和生成因果关系。作者对这些方法给出了自己的解释,建立了图形化的解释,并提供了诸如因素的线性序列、因果场和社会经济过程中因素的因果空间等概念。在这些方法的框架内,给出了用于评估社会经济过程中关系因果关系的数学和工具模型的分类,并在考虑到全球向数字格式过渡的情况下,阐述了这些模型和新模型的发展趋势。所有这些趋势都是基于对不同格式的数字技术的使用,并包括对这些格式的描述。本文包含了作者在经济管理科学研究中运用因果关系模型的具体实例。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Classification of models and description of trends in assessing the causality of relationships in socio-economic processes
Scientific research of any socio-economic and managerial process can be represented as a chain of reflections on the causes and consequences of this or that phenomenon's occurrence. At the same time, the authors can try not only to answer the question “why?” but also to study and understand the nature of cause-and-effect relationships, to find out the mechanisms of their occurrence, and also to get the answer to the question posed as accurately and reasonably as possible. Each author, using the accumulated experience, offers both qualitative and quantitative methods that allow him to obtain one or another assessment of causality. However, there are not enough articles devoted to a comprehensive review of the methods and technologies of cause-and-effect relationships in socio-economic processes. This article discusses three well-known conceptual approaches to the assessment of causation in socio-economic sciences: successionist causation, configurational causation and generative causation. The author gives his own interpretation of these approaches, builds graphic interpretations, and also offers such concepts as a linear sequence of factors, the causal field, and the causal space of factors in socio-economic processes. Within the framework of these approaches, a classification of mathematical and instrumental models for assessing the causality of relationships in socio-economic processes is given, and trends in the development of these and new models are formulated, taking into account the global transition to a digital format. All of these trends are based on the use of digital technologies in different formats and include descriptions of such formats. The article contains specific author’s examples of causality model implementation in scientific research related to economics and management.
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