俄罗斯能源强度的决定因素

Q3 Social Sciences

International Journal of Public Policy Pub Date : 2018-03-29 DOI:10.1504/IJPP.2018.10011857

D. Rudenko, Anna Raschetova

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引用次数: 4

摘要

在苏联，能源强度水平仍然很高。苏联解体后，俄罗斯也一直是能源密集型国家。尽管俄罗斯的能源强度下降了近41%，但自1998年以来，人均一次能源消费增长了24%。目前的研究旨在调查不同的决定因素是如何导致俄罗斯能源强度下降的。采用协整方法建立了影响俄罗斯能源强度的变量之间的长期关系。结果表明，能源价格和非碳水化合物能源的份额具有显著影响，与能源强度的变化呈负相关。实际原油价格上涨1%，预计能源强度将降低约0.26%，替代能源份额上涨1%，能源强度预计将降低0.86%。

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Determinants of energy intensity in Russia

In the Soviet Union energy intensity levels remained high. After the Soviet Union breakdown Russia has also been very energy intensive. Although Russia's energy intensity has fallen by nearly 41%, primary energy consumption per capita has increased by 24% since 1998. The current study aims to investigate how different determinants have contributed to the decline in Russia's energy intensity. The cointegration methodology is applied to establish the long-run relationship among the variables influencing energy intensity in Russia. The results show that energy prices and the share of non-carbohydrate energy have significant impact being negatively correlated to changes in energy intensity. A 1% increase in real crude oil price is expected to reduce energy intensity by 0.26% approximately, as well as a 1% increase of the share of alternative energy sources is expected to reduce the energy intensity by 0.86%.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Public Policy Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The IJPP proposes and fosters discussion on public policy issues facing nation states and national and supranational organisations, including governments, and how these diverse groups approach and solve common public policy problems. The emphasis will be on governance, accountability, the creation of wealth and wellbeing, and the implications policy choices have on nation states and their citizens. This perspective acknowledges that public policy choice and execution is complex and has ramifications on the welfare of citizens; and that, despite national differences, the actions of nation states are constrained by policies determined by supranational bodies, some of which are not directly accountable to any international body.