共和党政客的支持可以增加人们对美国大选的信心

IF 2 3区 社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE
Katherine Clayton, Robb Willer
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引用次数: 3

摘要

自2020年美国总统大选以来,共和党人对选举结果有效性的看法和对美国选举进程的更广泛信任达到了历史最低水平。虽然这一趋势对民主稳定有潜在的有害影响,但很少有研究表明如何恢复对选举公平的信念,以及对选举过程的普遍信任。在一项预先登记的调查实验中(n=2101),我们发现,与中立的控制条件或民主党政客的类似信息相比,观看共和党政客为2020年选举合法性辩护的真实信息,会增加共和党选民对选举结果和更广泛的选举过程的信心。从统计数据来看,这些影响是由选民对共和党精英对2020年大选看法的转变所介导的,这突出表明,这是一种潜在的有用干预措施,有助于恢复人们对未来选举的信心。值得注意的是,接触到共和党政客确认选举合法性的信息并没有显著减少对共和党的支持,这表明支持2020年选举结果的共和党政客可能不会面临选民的强烈反对。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Endorsements from Republican politicians can increase confidence in U.S. elections
Since the 2020 U.S. presidential election, perceptions of the validity of the outcome and broader trust in the American electoral process have reached historically low levels among Republicans. While this trend has potentially harmful consequences for democratic stability, there is little research on how beliefs that an election was fair—and trust in the electoral process more generally—can be restored. In a preregistered survey experiment (n = 2101), we find that viewing real messages from Republican politicians defending the legitimacy of the 2020 election increased faith in the election’s outcome and in the broader electoral process among Republican voters, compared to either a neutral control condition or to comparable messages from Democratic politicians. These effects are statistically mediated by shifts in voters’ perceptions of elite Republican opinion about the 2020 election, highlighting a potentially useful intervention for efforts to restore faith in elections going forward. Notably, exposure to messages from Republican politicians affirming the election’s legitimacy did not significantly decrease support for the Republican Party, suggesting that Republican politicians who endorse the 2020 election results might not face backlash from voters.
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来源期刊
Research and Politics
Research and Politics Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
3.70%
发文量
34
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Research & Politics aims to advance systematic peer-reviewed research in political science and related fields through the open access publication of the very best cutting-edge research and policy analysis. The journal provides a venue for scholars to communicate rapidly and succinctly important new insights to the broadest possible audience while maintaining the highest standards of quality control.
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