通过引力模型计算双边贸易的收入弹性。厄瓜多尔案。

L. T. Tonon Ordóñez, Ana Cristina Albornoz Flores, Paulo Enrique García Flores, L. G. Pinos Luzuriaga
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引用次数: 2

摘要

西班牙的这项工作确定了国内生产总值在厄瓜多尔与美洲大陆20个贸易伙伴的贸易流动中的统计重要性,并根据对外贸易引力模型,根据贸易经济体的规模(质量)获得了双边贸易流动的收入弹性。为此,建立了各国名义国内生产总值和以离岸价(美元)表示的贸易流量数据库。为了计算弹性,对相应系数的估计进行了对数回归。这项研究确定了国内生产总值在厄瓜多尔与美洲大陆20个贸易伙伴的贸易流动中的统计重要性,并根据对外贸易相对于贸易经济体规模(质量)的引力模型,获得了双边贸易流动的收入弹性。为此,构建了以美元表示的每个国家名义国内生产总值和以美元表示的FOB贸易流量的数据库。为了计算弹性,进行了对数回归来估计各自的系数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Elasticidad-Renta del comercio bilateral mediante el modelo gravitacional. Caso Ecuador.
espanolEste trabajo determina la importancia estadistica del Producto Interno Bruto en el flujo comercial del Ecuador con 20 socios comerciales del continente americano y obtiene la elasticidad-renta de los flujos comerciales bilaterales con base en el modelo gravitacional de comercio exterior en lo referente al tamano (masa) de las economias que comercian. Para este trabajo se estructuraron bases de datos del PIB nominal de cada pais y los flujos comerciales expresados en valores FOB, en dolares estadounidenses. Para el calculo de las elasticidades se realizaron regresiones de forma logaritmica para la estimacion de los respectivos coeficientes. EnglishThis study determines the statistical importance of the Gross Domestic Product in the trade flow of Ecuador with 20 trading partners of the American continent and obtains the income elasticity of bilateral trade flows based on the gravitational model of foreign trade in relation to the size (mass) of the trading economies. For this work, databases of the nominal GDP of each country expressed in US dollars and the commercial flows denominated in FOB in US dollars were structured. To calculate the elasticities, logarithmic regressions were performed to estimate the respective coefficients.
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