covid-19在最易感国家的疫情预测

IF 3.1 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
D. Yadav, Himani Maheshwari, U. Chandra
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引用次数: 23

摘要

冠状病毒的起源是中国湖北省武汉市的海鲜市场。新冠肺炎患者的病例可以追溯到2019年12月底。这是最具传染性的疾病,在报告首例病例后的三个月内在全球范围内传播。世界卫生组织将冠状病毒更名为新冠肺炎。新冠肺炎是β-冠状病毒家族病毒,对人类肺部有影响,常见症状有咳嗽、发烧、疲劳、呼吸系统问题和感冒。冠状病毒的全名是严重急性呼吸综合征严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒。它在人类和动物身上传播,感染了183多个国家,截至2020年4月28日,确诊病例为2959927例,死亡病例为202733例。84天的数据用于通过使用先知和基于日均值的算法预测未来10天的确诊和死亡病例。截至2020年4月25日,预计确诊病例为2886183例,死亡病例为190540例。本研究介绍了新冠肺炎在十大感染国的传播模式。在中国之后,欧洲国家是感染人数最多的国家。在这项研究中,对确诊病例、活动病例、康复病例和死亡病例的属性以及未来十天的疫情预测进行了数据分析。一些国家的州数据证实了活跃病例和死亡病例也进行了分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Outbreak prediction of covid-19 in most susceptible countries
Origin of the coronavirus was the seafood market of Wuhan city, Hubei province in China. The cases of someone suffering from COVID-19 can be traced back to the end of December 2019 in China. This is the most infectious disease and spread worldwide within three months after the first case reported. The World Health Organization renames Coronavirus as COVID-19. COVID-19 is the β-Coronavirus family virus, effect on the lung of human and common symptoms are cough, fever, fatigue, respiratory problem, and cold. The full name of the coronavirus is severe acute respiratory syndrome SARS-CoV. It spread on humans as well as animals and infected more than 183 countries with 2959927 confirm cases and 202733 deaths till 28 April 2020. 84 days data is used to predict confirmed and death cases for the next 10 days by using prophet and daily average based algorithm. Predicted confirmed cases are 2886183 and death cases 190540 till 25 April 2020. This study introduces the spreading pattern of COVID-19 in the top ten infected countries.  After China, European countries are the most infected ones. In this study, data was analyzed on the attributes confirmed, active, recovered and death cases, and next ten days outbreak prediction. Some countries state-wise data confirmed active and death cases also analyzed.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
2.90%
发文量
11
审稿时长
8 weeks
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