台湾与大陆的两岸关系:经济失衡及其影响

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
Kerry Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

台湾与中国的两岸关系在亚太地区和世界上至关重要。这项研究的重点是经济关系及其影响。主要结论包括:第一,经济产出差距越来越大,从而有利于中国。基于时间序列稳健最小二乘模型,本研究发现,这种经济实力将显著减少台湾的外国盟友数量。与此同时,这种经济实力也带来了军事上的不平衡。其次,通过格兰杰因果检验检验台湾股市与中国股市之间的因果关系,发现中国处于主导地位。同时,台湾处于主导地位。然而,除了旅游业,中国作为杠杆的主导地位的影响似乎有限。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cross-Strait Relations Between Taiwan and Mainland China: The Economic Imbalance and its Implications
The cross-strait relations between Taiwan and China are critical in the Asia Pacific and the world. This study focuses on economic relations and their implications. The main conclusions include: First, the economic gap in output is increasingly larger, thus favouring China. Based on a time series robust least squares model, this study finds that this economic strength will significantly reduce the number of Taiwan’s foreign allies. At the same time, this economic strength also brings military imbalance. Second, by employing the Granger causality tests to examine the causality relations between the stock markets of Taiwan and China, which reflect the economic integrations in areas such as the trade of goods and services and capital flow, this study finds that China is in a dominant position. At the same time, Taiwan is in a dominated position. However, except for tourism, the effects of China’s dominant position as leverage seem limited.
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来源期刊
中国报道
中国报道 AREA STUDIES-
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
9353
期刊介绍: China Report promotes the free expression and discussion of different ideas, approaches and viewpoints which assist a better understanding of China and its East Asian neighbours. A quarterly journal of the Institute of Chinese Studies, it attempts to provide a fresh approach which goes beyond the strictly utilitarian area studies without becoming antiquarian. Launched in 1964, China Report has, over the years, widened its interests and aims and transformed itself into a scholarly journal that seeks a better understanding of China and its East Asian neighbours - particularly their cultures, their development and their relations with China. It is an indispensable source of information on China, its society and culture.
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