在安全困境中

Q2 Social Sciences
Thomas Ameyaw-Brobbey
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引用次数: 0

摘要

中国的经济增长和相关的自信正在导致亚太战略环境的重大变化,产生了该地区大国的政策反应,并与1914年的欧洲建立了联系。本文回顾了2014年对当今亚太地区和1914年欧洲的类比,从理论上解释了亚太地区相对于中国崛起的战略环境以及美国、澳大利亚、印度和日本这四个亚太大国的反应。使用“安全困境”的概念,我认为,中国在军事侵略中新获得的信心所带来的威胁在亚太地区造成了不信任、恐惧和不确定性,类似于德国及其在20世纪上半叶欧洲的野心。然而,这种相似性并不一定意味着这两个环境和时期会产生相似的结果,因为战略条件不同。今天的亚太地区在联盟方面比二十世纪的欧洲更受约束。最后,我批评了在该地区建立权力分享机制以确保和平的力量平衡。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IN A SECURITY DILEMMA
China's economic growth and related assertiveness are causing significant changes in the Asia Pacific strategic environment, producing policy responses from the region's major powers, and gaining linkage with 1914 Europe. This article revisits the analogy, made in 2014, between the Asia Pacific today and Europe of 1914 to theoretically explain Asia Pacific's strategic environment vis-à-vis China's rise and the responses of four Asia Pacific powers—the United States, Australia, India, and Japan. Using the notion of “security dilemma,” I argue that a perceived threat of China's newfound confidence expressed in military aggressions creates distrust, fear, and uncertainty in the Asia Pacific, resembling Germany and its ambitions in the first half of twentieth century Europe. However, the similarity does not necessarily mean that the two environments and periods would produce similar outcomes because the strategic conditions are different. Asia Pacific today is more constrained in alliances than twentieth century Europe. I conclude by critiquing the balance of power to propose a power-sharing mechanism in the region to ensure peace.
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来源期刊
World Affairs
World Affairs Social Sciences-Social Sciences (all)
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: World Affairs is a quarterly international affairs journal published by Heldref Publications. World Affairs, which, in one form or another, has been published since 1837, was re-launched in January 2008 as an entirely new publication. World Affairs is a small journal that argues the big ideas behind U.S. foreign policy. The journal celebrates and encourages heterodoxy and open debate. Recognizing that miscalculation and hubris are not beyond our capacity, we wish more than anything else to debate and clarify what America faces on the world stage and how it ought to respond. We hope you will join us in an occasionally unruly, seldom dull, and always edifying conversation. If ideas truly do have consequences, readers of World Affairs will be well prepared.
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