干旱TEGO杂交玉米在肯尼亚的经济影响

D. K. Willy, I. Macharia, George Marechera, Grace Muinga, S. Mugo, R. Rotich, R. Oniang'o, J. Karanja, C. Obunyali, S. Oikeh
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用经济盈余模型(ESM)对肯尼亚耐旱杂交玉米技术的经济影响进行了事后评估。结果表明,DroughtTEGO®品种的采用将为生产商带来经济效益,在20年内净现值为21亿美元。当采用率保持在32%以上,产量优势至少比商业杂交种高21%时,这些优势是可持续的。这些结果为投资开发、部署和扩大该技术提供了一个令人信服的理由,以减轻干旱对非洲玉米生产商的影响。关键词:采用、气候智能、DroughtTEGO®、抗旱、经济影响、经济盈余模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic impact of DroughtTEGO hybrid maize in Kenya
This paper utilizes the Economic Surplus Model (ESM) to provide an ex-post evaluation of the economic impact of drought tolerant hybrid maize technology in Kenya. Results indicate that the adoption of DroughtTEGO® varieties will generate economic benefit to producers with a net present value of US$ 2.1 billion over a 20-year period. These benefits are sustainable when adoption levels remain above 32% and yield advantage at least 21% over the commercial hybrids. These results present a compelling reason for investing in development, deployment and upscaling of the technology to mitigate the effects of drought among maize producers in Africa. Key words: Adoption, climate-smart, DroughtTEGO®, drought mitigation, economic impact, economic-surplus model.
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