撒哈拉以南非洲大多数城市化国家城市化-生育率关系的比较评估

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS
O. Jemiluyi, Leward Jeke
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于城市生活成本高、在城市中心生孩子的机会成本高以及人们越来越意识到小家庭的好处等因素,城市化与大家庭是不相容的,这一观点在文献中几乎是一致的。然而,粗略地看一下撒哈拉以南非洲的数据,就会对城市化与高生育率的不兼容性产生怀疑。因此,本文以非洲南部两个城市化程度最高的国家尼日利亚和南非为研究对象,探讨了城市化与生育率的关系。在完全修正的普通最小二乘(FMOLS)框架内利用两国的时间序列数据,在两国驳斥了不相容假设。具体而言,分析表明,在尼日利亚和南非,城市化程度的提高与生育率呈正相关,且尼日利亚的关系程度高于南非。这些发现表明,旨在改善城市化进程和降低生育率的政策在这两个国家都至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Comparative Assessment of the Urbanization – Fertility Nexus in Most Urbanized Countries of Sub-Saharan Africa
Abstract There is a near-consensus in the literature that urbanization is incompatible with large family size owing to factors such as high cost of urban living, opportunity cost of having children in urban centers and increasing awareness of benefits of small family size. However, a cursory glance at the data on sub-Saharan Africa cast doubt on the incompatibility of urbanization with high fertility rate. Hence, this paper investigates the urbanization-fertility nexus in the two most urbanized countries of SSA – Nigeria and South Africa. Exploiting time series data for both countries within a Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS) framework, the incompatibility hypothesis is refuted in both countries. Specifically, the analysis suggests that in Nigeria and South Africa, increasing degree of urbanization is positively related with fertility rate with the magnitude of the relationship being higher in Nigeria than South Africa. These findings imply that policies aimed at improving urbanization process and reducing fertility rates are crucial in both countries.
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