“债务时代的增长”作为逻辑实证主义科学的一个例子

IF 0.3 Q4 ECONOMICS
Mariusz Maziarz
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文讨论了Reinhart和Rogoff(2010)进行的一项臭名昭著的计量经济学研究,该研究为公共债务与经济增长之间的关系设定了阈值假设,是否是根据新实证主义理论进行的。本文由两部分组成。首先,对逻辑实证主义的认识论建议进行重构和操作。其次,分析了Reinhart和Rogoff(2010)采用的计量方法。研究问题的答案是肯定的《债务时代的增长》是一门逻辑实证主义科学,因为(1)这项研究是基于数据的,旨在证实结果,(2)其作者致力于新实证主义理论的观察区分,(3)它的目标是描述一种经验概括,结果的解释表明(4)Reinhart和Rogoff(2010)以一种还原论的方式将因果关系理解为一种恒定的连词。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
'Growth in a Time of Debt' as an example of the logical-positivist science
The paper addresses the question whether the now- infamous piece of econometric research conducted by Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) that set the threshold hypothesis in the relation between public debt and economic growth was conducted in accordance with the neopositivist doctrine. The article consists of two parts. First, the epistemic advice given by logical positivism is reconstructed and operationalized. Second, the cliometric method employed by Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) is analyzed. The answer to the research question is affirmative. ‘Growth in a Time of Debt’ is a piece of logical-positivist science because (1) the research is data-based and aimed at confirming the results, (2) its authors are committed to the neopositivist theory-observation distinction, (3) its goal is describing an empirical generalization and the result’s interpretations suggest that (4) Reinhart and Rogoff (2010) understand causality in a reductionist way, as a constant conjunction.
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CiteScore
0.60
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