混合德尔菲法和聚集-分解法在群体决策中的应用

IF 2.3 Q3 MANAGEMENT
Andrej Bregar
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引用次数: 4

摘要

提出了一种将有调节的德尔菲过程与自治的聚集-分解机制相结合的群体多准则决策分析混合过程。这项研究是基于这样的假设,即两种综合方法在适当结合时可以产生协同效应。本文通过比较这三种方法,并通过基于评估群体决策方法和系统的通用框架的几个因素的初步案例研究来评估混合程序,从而证明了混合程序的合理性。这些因素涉及决策过程、冲突解决和认知复杂性的趋同。本文旨在完整而彻底地定义决策过程,在算法和方法上充分实现混合程序的所有步骤,并提供该程序的应用。应用结果表明,该混合过程收敛性好,并对决策者施加了可接受的认知负荷,表明该混合过程能够有效地执行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of a hybrid Delphi and aggregation–disaggregation procedure for group decision-making

A hybrid procedure for group multiple criteria decision analysis is introduced that consolidates a moderated Delphi process with an autonomous aggregation–disaggregation mechanism. The research is based on the assumption that both consolidated approaches can lead to synergistic effects when properly combined. The paper justifies the hybrid procedure by comparing the three approaches, and by assessing it with a preliminary case study that is based on several factors of a universal framework for the evaluation of group decision-making methods and systems. These factors address convergence of the decision-making process, conflict resolution and cognitive complexity. The paper aims to define the decision-making process completely and thoroughly, fully operationalize all steps of the hybrid procedure algorithmically and methodologically and provide an application of the procedure. The application shows that the process converges and imposes acceptable cognitive load on the decision-makers, which implies that the hybrid procedure is able to perform efficiently.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
10.00%
发文量
15
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