基于指标的GIS和模糊AHP的气候变化脆弱性评估

Q4 Social Sciences
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在将GIS方法与模糊AHP相结合,在脆弱性概念下评估气候变化的影响。岘港市的这项实证研究结果对制定评估越南中部沿海城市脆弱性的综合指标具有重要的科学贡献。审查了政府间气候变化专门委员会(气专委)在气候变化脆弱性评估中的做法,考虑到脆弱性的三个主要组成部分,即暴露于危险、地方敏感性和适应能力。应用基于GIS的方法生成一组指标,并研究了模糊AHP方法来确定气候脆弱性评估中包含的参数的加权方案。研究结果表明,包括Son Tra和Ngu Hanh Son在内的沿海地区由于暴露程度高、敏感性高和适应能力有限,最容易受到气候变化的影响。相反,具有高水平适应能力的地区,如海州地区,通常处于低水平的脆弱性。研究结果证实了提高适应能力对应对气候变化影响的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Using GIS and Fuzzy AHP on an Indicator-Based Approach
This study aims at integrating GIS method and fuzzy AHP to evaluate the impact of climate change under the vulnerability concept. The results of this empirical study in Da Nang city have significant scientific contribution to the generation of comprehensive indicators for assessing the vulnerability in coastal cities in Central region of Vietnam. The approach of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in climate change vulnerability assessment has been examined considering three main components of vulnerability which are exposure to hazards, local sensitivity and adaptive capacity. GIS-based approach was applied to generate a set of indicators and the fuzzy AHP method was investigated for determination of the weighted scheme for parameters included in the climate vulnerability assessment. The study results indicate that the coastal districts including Son Tra and Ngu Hanh Son districts are most vulnerable to climate change due to high exposure, high sensitivity and limited adaptive capacity. On the contrary, the district with high level of adaptive capacity such as Hai Chau district is usually ranged in low level of vulnerability. The results confirm the importance of enhancing adaptive capacity in responding to the impact of climate change.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Geoinformatics
International Journal of Geoinformatics Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
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