天然气向混合可再生能源供热系统过渡的建模

Q1 Social Sciences

International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Pub Date : 2021-10-15 DOI:10.5278/IJSEPM.6576

Y. Noorollahi, Negar Vahidrad, S. Eslami, M. Naseer

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引用次数: 9

摘要

随着工业的发展，全球能源需求不断增加。目前，化石燃料占伊朗能源的85%以上，是伊朗最主要的能源来源，其消费量有所增加，但它对环境和人类健康具有破坏性影响。本研究旨在对加兹温市可再生能源供暖替代天然气进行建模和技术经济评估。对天然气国内需求进行了量化，并对未来15年的消费量进行了预测。研究人员调查了六种不同的情景，以评估可再生能源在未来15年满足城市供热需求的潜力。该研究发现，最佳实践方案可以减少天然气消耗并增加可再生能源的份额。最后，对该方案进行了经济和环境分析。结果表明，节约的天然气可在3年内实现投资回报。此外，到2029年，伊朗可以减少大约100万吨的二氧化碳排放量。

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Modeling of Transition from Natural Gas to Hybrid Renewable Energy Heating System

Abstract Global energy demand is increased due to industrial development. Currently, fossil fuels, with more than 85%, are the most prominent source of energy in Iran, and their consumption has been raised, but it has destructive impacts on the environment and human health. This study aims to model and techno-economically assess renewable energy heating for replacing natural gas in Qazvin city. The natural gas domestic demand was quantified, followed by consumption forecasting for 15 years. Six different scenarios were investigated to assess renewables’ potential to meet the city heat demand for the next 15years. The study uncovers that the best practice scenario can reduce natural gas consumption and increase renewable energies share. Finally, the proposed scenario was analyzed economically and environmentally. Results revealed that the return on investment would occur in 3 years by exporting the saved natural gas. Also, Iran can reduce CO2 emissions by about 1 million tons by the year 2029.

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来源期刊

International Journal of Sustainable Energy Planning and Management Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development

CiteScore

7.60

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

30 weeks

期刊介绍： The journal is an international interdisciplinary journal in Sustainable Energy Planning and Management combining engineering and social science within Energy System Analysis, Feasibility Studies and Public Regulation. The journal especially welcomes papers within the following three focus areas: Energy System analysis including theories, methodologies, data handling and software tools as well as specific models and analyses at local, regional, country and/or global level. Economics, Socio economics and Feasibility studies including theories and methodologies of institutional economics as well as specific feasibility studies and analyses. Public Regulation and management including theories and methodologies as well as specific analyses and proposals in the light of the implementation and transition into sustainable energy systems.