亚洲后发经济体的过早去工业化风险

IF 5.3 3区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Asian Economic Papers Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI:10.1162/asep_a_00851

Hiroyuki Taguchi, Yuta Tsukada

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引用次数: 7

摘要

摘要本研究考察了亚洲后发发展中国家过早去工业化的风险，重点关注其制造业产出率。与将亚洲经济体视为具有制造业比较优势的群体的文献不同，本实证分析采用后发者指数来证明后发者的制造业-收入关系发生了向下的变化，这意味着过早的去工业化风险。此外，研究表明，制造业贸易逆差国（与贸易顺差国相比）和南亚国家（与东南亚国家相比）的风险更高。因此，亚洲经济体应提高物流绩效，以促进全球价值链的参与，避免过早去工业化。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Premature Deindustrialization Risk in Asian Latecomer Developing Economies

Abstract This study examines the risk of premature deindustrialization in latecomer developing countries in Asia, focusing on their manufacturing output ratio. Diverging from the literature that treats Asian economies as a group with comparative advantages in manufacturing, this empirical analysis adopts the latecomer index to demonstrate downward shifts in the latecomers’ manufacturing–income relationship, implying a premature deindustrialization risk. Furthermore, it shows that the risk is higher for manufacturing trade-deficit countries (compared with trade-surplus countries) and for South Asian countries (compared with Southeast Asian countries). Therefore, Asian economies should improve their logistics performance for greater global value chain participation to avoid premature deindustrialization.

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来源期刊

Asian Economic Papers ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

7.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The journal Asian Economic Papers (AEP) is supported by several prominent institutions, including the Center for Sustainable Development at Columbia University in the United States. This shows that there is a strong emphasis on sustainable development within the journal's scope. Additionally, the Korea Institute for International Economic Policy in South Korea, the UN Sustainable Development Solutions Network (SDSN) in Malaysia, and the Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia in Indonesia also sponsor AEP. The articles published in AEP focus on conducting thorough and rigorous analyses of significant economic issues pertaining to specific Asian economies or the broader Asian region. The aim is to gain a deeper understanding of these issues and provide innovative solutions. By offering creative solutions to economic challenges, AEP contributes to the discourse and policymaking that impact the Asian economies and region as a whole.