{"title":"通过数学模型研究古巴Villa Clara Sagua La Grande地区气候对脑血管疾病入院和死亡人数的影响","authors":"Jorge Luis Alonso Freyre","doi":"10.21786/bbrc/15.4.11","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The number of deceased cases and admissions for annual cerebrovascular diseases were modeled in Sagua la Grande, Villa Clara province, Cuba, between 1993 and 2017. A statistical description of these two variables was made, with an average admission of 148 .7 cases, with a standard deviation of 24.9. The deceased had an average of 35.7 with a standard deviation of 13.2, the results were obtained using the Regressive Objective Regression (ROR) methodology. The impact of the minimum temperature and atmospheric pressure of the Sagua La Grande station was studied, reaching the conclusion that as the minimum temperature increases, the income and deaths increase, so this impact is related to the climate change, when the minimum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 9 cases, while when the maximum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 11.6 cases. In the case of revenue, as the atmospheric pressure increases by 2 hPa, the amount of revenue decreases by 1 case.","PeriodicalId":9156,"journal":{"name":"Bioscience Biotechnology Research Communications","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-12-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Incidence of Climate on the Number of Admissions and Deaths Due to Cerebrovascular Diseases Through Mathematical Modeling In Sagua La Grande, Villa Clara, Cuba\",\"authors\":\"Jorge Luis Alonso Freyre\",\"doi\":\"10.21786/bbrc/15.4.11\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The number of deceased cases and admissions for annual cerebrovascular diseases were modeled in Sagua la Grande, Villa Clara province, Cuba, between 1993 and 2017. A statistical description of these two variables was made, with an average admission of 148 .7 cases, with a standard deviation of 24.9. The deceased had an average of 35.7 with a standard deviation of 13.2, the results were obtained using the Regressive Objective Regression (ROR) methodology. The impact of the minimum temperature and atmospheric pressure of the Sagua La Grande station was studied, reaching the conclusion that as the minimum temperature increases, the income and deaths increase, so this impact is related to the climate change, when the minimum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 9 cases, while when the maximum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 11.6 cases. In the case of revenue, as the atmospheric pressure increases by 2 hPa, the amount of revenue decreases by 1 case.\",\"PeriodicalId\":9156,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Bioscience Biotechnology Research Communications\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-12-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Bioscience Biotechnology Research Communications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.21786/bbrc/15.4.11\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Bioscience Biotechnology Research Communications","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21786/bbrc/15.4.11","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
1993年至2017年期间,在古巴比利亚克拉拉省的萨瓜拉格兰德,模拟了死亡病例和年度脑血管疾病入院人数。对这两个变量进行统计描述,平均入院148.7例,标准差为24.9。死者的平均年龄为35.7,标准差为13.2,结果采用回归客观回归(ROR)方法获得。对Sagua La Grande站的最低气温和气压的影响进行了研究,得出随着最低气温的升高,收入和死亡人数增加,因此这种影响与气候变化有关,最低气温每升高1℃,死亡人数增加9例,最高气温每升高1℃,死亡人数增加11.6例。在收入的情况下,大气压力每增加2 hPa,收入的数量减少1例。
Incidence of Climate on the Number of Admissions and Deaths Due to Cerebrovascular Diseases Through Mathematical Modeling In Sagua La Grande, Villa Clara, Cuba
The number of deceased cases and admissions for annual cerebrovascular diseases were modeled in Sagua la Grande, Villa Clara province, Cuba, between 1993 and 2017. A statistical description of these two variables was made, with an average admission of 148 .7 cases, with a standard deviation of 24.9. The deceased had an average of 35.7 with a standard deviation of 13.2, the results were obtained using the Regressive Objective Regression (ROR) methodology. The impact of the minimum temperature and atmospheric pressure of the Sagua La Grande station was studied, reaching the conclusion that as the minimum temperature increases, the income and deaths increase, so this impact is related to the climate change, when the minimum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 9 cases, while when the maximum temperature increases by 1 °C, deaths increase by 11.6 cases. In the case of revenue, as the atmospheric pressure increases by 2 hPa, the amount of revenue decreases by 1 case.