美国西海岸凉爽季节小冰雹:环境、危害和决策支持

IF 0.8 Q4 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
J. Garner, William C. Iwasko, Matthew Kidwell, Karleisa Rogacheski, Ryan P. Aylward, Jason Anderson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国国家气象局(NWS)在美国西海岸的预报员经常会遇到凉爽季节的冰雹阵雨,这会产生危险的驾驶条件。这些直径平均为5.8毫米的小冰雹事件发生在寒冷的上层槽中,这些槽支持微弱的不稳定性,有利于低顶对流和平均48 dBZ的反射率值。公众普遍认为,大雪在西海岸山区很常见,而在海平面附近则普遍存在大雨。然而,当潮湿、相对温暖的低海拔道路突然转变为冰雹覆盖的结冰条件时,驾驶者可能会措手不及。因此,西海岸的小冰雹事件为NWS提供了一个机会,可以提供量身定制的信息,改变公众的看法并优化结果。这项研究考察了2008-2018年期间美国西部支持小冰雹积聚的环境,并总结了用于提醒NWS合作伙伴和公众的增强的基于影响的决策支持技术,以补充环境分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Cool Season Small Hail over the West Coast of the United States: Environments, Hazards, and Decision Support
National Weather Service (NWS) forecasters across the west coast of the United States often deal with cool season hail showers that produce hazardous driving conditions. These small hail events, with diameters averaging 5.8 mm, occur with cold upper troughs that support weak instability favorable for low-topped convection and reflectivity values averaging 48 dBZ. The public generally assumes that heavy snow is common across west coast mountains, while heavy rain prevails near sea level. However, motorists can be caught offguard when wet, relatively warm low elevation roadways suddenly transition to icy hail-covered conditions. Thus, west coast small hail events represent an opportunity for the NWS to provide tailored messaging that can modify public perceptions and optimize outcomes. This research examines environments supportive of accumulating small hail over the western United States during the period 2008–2018, and supplements the environmental analysis with a summary of enhanced impact-based decision support techniques used to alert NWS partners and the general public.
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来源期刊
Journal of Operational Meteorology
Journal of Operational Meteorology METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
2.40
自引率
0.00%
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4
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