评估印度尼西亚西苏拉威西岛小规模可可山羊混合养殖的盈利能力

Abrão Pereira, Stacey Paterson, P. McMahon, D. Guest, A. Purwantara, Jenny Ann Toribio
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引用次数: 0

摘要

椰子是印度尼西亚苏拉威西岛小规模农民的主要作物。可可产量下降和可可价格波动对小规模农民的收入产生了负面影响。解决小规模可可种植可持续性问题的一种方法是通过可可-山羊混合种植使家庭收入多样化。本研究旨在通过成本效益分析(CBA)评估可可-山羊混合养殖对西苏拉威西小规模农民来说是否是一项可行且有利可图的企业。开发了三个CBA模型,以比较位于西苏拉威西岛的现有中型可可-山羊混合农场与假设的小型可可单一种植和可可-山羊复合农场的盈利能力。CBA通过使用结构化问卷和文献检索的访谈获得信息。CBA的主要评估标准是净现值(NPV),而效益成本比(BCR)和内部收益率(IRR)是补充标准。敏感性分析衡量了关键参数变化对利润的影响。在25年的生产周期中,中等规模的可可山羊混合农场是一家盈利企业,预计利润为90403美元。在小规模层面,研究结果表明,从事小规模的可可-山羊混合养殖有可能使家庭收入增加可可单一种植利润的27%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing Profitability Of Small-Scale Cocoa-Goat Mixed-Farming In West Sulawesi, Indonesia
Cocoa is a key crop for small-scale farmers in Sulawesi, Indonesia. Decline in cocoa yield and cocoa price fluctuation have negatively affected the income of small-scale farmers. An approach to address the sustainability of small-scale cocoa farming is to diversify the household income via cocoa-goat mixed farming. This study aimed to assess whether cocoa-goat mixed farming was a viable and profitable enterprise for small-scale farmers in West Sulawesi by using cost benefit analysis (CBA). Three CBA models were developed to compare profitability of an existing medium-scale cocoa-goat mixed farm located in West Sulawesi with hypothetical small-scale cocoa monoculture and cocoa-goat mixed farming. The CBAs were informed by an interview using structured questionnaire and literature search. The principal CBA assessment criterion was net present value (NPV) while benefit cost ratio (BCR) and internal rate of return (IRR) were supplementary. Sensitivity analysis measured the impact of changes in key parameters on profit. Over a 25-year production cycle, the medium-scale cocoa goat mixed farm is a profitable enterprise, earning an estimated profit of USD 90,403. At small-scale level, the findings suggest that engaging in small-scale cocoa goat mixed farming has potential to increase household income by 27% of profit from the cocoa monoculture.
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