调和现时人口调查中的职业流动

IF 3.9 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Labor Economics Pub Date : 2021-12-17 DOI:10.1086/718563

Christian vom Lehn, Cache Ellsworth, Zachary Kroff

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引用次数: 3

摘要

使用回顾性或纵向方法从当前人口调查中测量职业流动性，在水平和趋势上产生了显著不同的结果。使用广义矩方法技术，我们估计了1981年至2018年这两项指标的职业流动水平和测量误差。我们估计，职业流动性一直呈下降趋势，特别是自2000年以来，这与职业流动性的回顾性测量一致。然而，估计的流动性比回顾性测量高出2-3个百分点或60%-70%。纵向测量中的测量误差很大，并且随着时间的推移一直在恶化。

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Reconciling Occupational Mobility in the Current Population Survey

Measuring occupational mobility from the Current Population Survey using retrospective or longitudinal methods generates substantially different outcomes, in both levels and trends. Using a generalized method of moments technique, we estimate the level of occupational mobility and the measurement error in both of these measures for 1981–2018. We estimate that occupational mobility has been trending down, particularly since 2000, consistent with retrospective measures of occupational mobility. However, estimated mobility is 2–3 percentage points or 60%–70% higher than retrospective measures. Measurement error in longitudinal measures is large and has been worsening over time.

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来源期刊

Journal of Labor Economics Multiple-

CiteScore

6.40

自引率

2.60%

发文量

期刊介绍： Since 1983, the Journal of Labor Economics has presented international research that examines issues affecting the economy as well as social and private behavior. The Journal publishes both theoretical and applied research results relating to the U.S. and international data. And its contributors investigate various aspects of labor economics, including supply and demand of labor services, personnel economics, distribution of income, unions and collective bargaining, applied and policy issues in labor economics, and labor markets and demographics.